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AI betting stats / ChatGPT

ChatGPT betting tips

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Event Date
ROI -3.9%
Win Rate 46.8%
Avg. Odds - 2.90

ChatGPT ROI

ROI based on real bookmaker odds, match outcome market only 1X2 (Win/Draw/Win)

ChatGPT match-outcome win rate (1X2)

Match & Predictions
4 of 6 AI models pick New York Yankees to win at 1.40
25/09/24 - 23:06 (UTC)
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Chicago White Sox
The Yankees are likely winners, but the -400 price is inflated; at +300, the White Sox offer superior long-term value in a high-variance MLB spot.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders to win at 1.93
25/09/24 - 23:05 (UTC)
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Near coin-flip matchup, but Jacksonville’s home premium looks inflated; at -108, the RailRiders offer the better price-based side. I’m taking Scranton/Wilkes-Barre to squeeze the smaller vig in a volatile Triple-A spot.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Philadelphia Phillies to win at 1.65
25/09/24 - 22:46 (UTC)
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Miami Marlins
Taking Miami at +184 for the value: in a volatile, divisional game at a homer-friendly park, the underdog’s true win chance can exceed the implied 35.2%.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Cincinnati Reds to win at 1.83
25/09/24 - 22:41 (UTC)
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Cincinnati Reds
Near pick’em, but Great American Ball Park and home-field dynamics tip a few percentage points toward Cincinnati, making the Reds at -110 a small +EV play.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Baltimore Orioles to win at 1.84
25/09/24 - 22:36 (UTC)
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Baltimore Orioles
Take the Orioles at 1.93: Camden Yards’ run suppression plus Baltimore’s bullpen and defense nudge a coin flip in their favor.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Vasco da Gama to win at 2.35
25/09/24 - 22:30 (UTC)
Vasco da Gama
Bahia
Football
Brasileirão Série A

tip from ChatGPT

Vasco da Gama
Back Vasco da Gama at home; São Januário’s edge and the stylistic matchup lift their true win chance above the break-even for +135, creating a positive expected value.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Botafogo to win at 2.75
25/09/24 - 22:30 (UTC)
Grêmio
Botafogo
Football
Brasileirão Série A

tip from ChatGPT

Grêmio
Value on Grêmio’s home edge at 2.91 against a traveling Botafogo whose away approach narrows margins; the market slightly underrates the hosts.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Clube Atlético Mineiro to win at 1.33
25/09/24 - 22:00 (UTC)
Clube Atlético Mineiro
Club Bolívar
Football
CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Value leans to the draw at 4.98: a cagey, low-event Sudamericana tie makes Atlético’s 1.31 look rich and boosts the stalemate’s true probability above its break-even.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick San Diego Padres to win at 1.79
25/09/24 - 20:10 (UTC)
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Milwaukee Brewers
Backing the Brewers at underdog odds 2.14 offers positive expected value in a low-scoring Petco Park setting where variance favors the dog. Unless the Padres’ true win chance exceeds ~57%, the home price at 1.75 is too rich.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Atlético Madrid to win at 1.51
25/09/24 - 19:30 (UTC)
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Football
La Liga, Spain

tip from ChatGPT

Atlético Madrid
Atlético’s home strength and stylistic edge over Rayo create a realistic 69–72% win chance, exceeding the 66.6% implied by -199. At current price, the favorite offers a small but genuine value.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Real Sociedad to win at 1.77
25/09/24 - 19:30 (UTC)
Real Sociedad
Mallorca
Football
La Liga, Spain

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Tactical friction and low-event dynamics make the draw mispriced at +252; Mallorca’s compact style often turns Sociedad’s dominance into stalemates.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/24 - 19:00 (UTC)
Red Star Belgrade
Celtic
Football
UEFA Europa League

tip from ChatGPT

Red Star Belgrade
Back Red Star at home—the market underrates their Belgrade edge and set-piece threat, making their price the best value versus implied probabilities.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Fenerbahce to win at 2.25
25/09/24 - 19:00 (UTC)
Dinamo Zagreb
Fenerbahce
Football
UEFA Europa League

tip from ChatGPT

Dinamo Zagreb
Value on the home underdog: Dinamo’s European home edge and likely slower, cagey tempo make +2.84 a positive-EV stab versus an overrated away favorite.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick SC Braga to win at 2.15
25/09/24 - 19:00 (UTC)
SC Braga
Feyenoord
Football
UEFA Europa League

tip from ChatGPT

Feyenoord
Back Feyenoord at the plus-money price; their pressing and transition game match up well with Braga’s aggression, making the away win the best value in this market.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/24 - 19:00 (UTC)
Malmo FF
PFC Ludogorets Razgrad
Football
UEFA Europa League

tip from ChatGPT

Malmo FF
Malmö’s home edge, set-piece threat, and territorial control make the 1.74 moneyline slightly undervalued versus the implied 57.6%—back the hosts to get it done.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick AS Roma to win at 2.27
25/09/24 - 19:00 (UTC)
Nice
AS Roma
Football
UEFA Europa League

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Backing the Draw at +249 offers the best value given both teams’ cautious European profiles and the early-group incentive to avoid risks. Roma’s short price and Nice’s measured style tilt the probabilities toward a low-variance stalemate.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick SC Freiburg to win at 1.49
25/09/24 - 19:00 (UTC)
SC Freiburg
FC Basel
Football
UEFA Europa League

tip from ChatGPT

SC Freiburg
Backing Freiburg at home at 1.71 offers a small but real edge given the league-quality gap and their set-piece/territorial advantages. My fair price implies ~62% for Freiburg, making the current number a positive-EV play.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Real Betis to win at 2.31
25/09/24 - 19:00 (UTC)
Real Betis
Nottingham Forest
Football
UEFA Europa League

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Backing the draw at 3.67 for a cagey group-stage opener where Betis’ control meets Forest’s counterpunching and both sides are incentivized not to lose.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Getafe to win at 2.46
25/09/24 - 17:00 (UTC)
Getafe
Alavés
Football
La Liga, Spain

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Two compact, low-event sides make the stalemate the most likely outcome; at 2.90, the draw offers the best value versus our fair probabilities.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Celta Vigo to win at 2.33
25/09/24 - 17:00 (UTC)
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
Football
La Liga, Spain

tip from ChatGPT

Real Betis
Backing Real Betis at 3.19 for the upset: their compact style and transition threat offer clear value against a Celta side slightly overpriced at home.
Lost