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AI betting stats / ChatGPT

ChatGPT betting tips

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Event Date
ROI -2.7%
Win Rate 47.5%
Avg. Odds - 2.89

ChatGPT ROI

ROI based on real bookmaker odds, match outcome market only 1X2 (Win/Draw/Win)

ChatGPT match-outcome win rate (1X2)

Match & Predictions
6 of 6 AI models pick Hanshin Tigers to win at 1.80
25/09/10 - 09:00 (UTC)
Hanshin Tigers
Yokohama DeNA BayStars
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball, Japan

tip from ChatGPT

Hanshin Tigers
Koshien’s run-suppressing environment favors Hanshin’s run prevention over DeNA’s power, giving the Tigers a small but real edge over the price. I’m backing Hanshin on the moneyline for a modest positive expected value.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Hiroshima Toyo Carp to win at 2.27
25/09/10 - 09:00 (UTC)
Yomiuri Giants
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball, Japan

tip from ChatGPT

Yomiuri Giants
Taking the home side at even money in the Dome is the value play. Yomiuri’s park fit and late-inning leverage tilt a true 50/50 toward the Giants at this price.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Saitama Seibu Lions to win at 1.83
25/09/10 - 09:00 (UTC)
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
Saitama Seibu Lions
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball, Japan

tip from ChatGPT

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
Home underdog value: Rakuten at 2.15 needs only ~46.5% to break even, and the matchup profile plus home-field leverage push their true win chance closer to 48–50%. Take the Eagles ML, playable down to about 2.05.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Los Angeles Dodgers to win at 1.05
25/09/10 - 02:11 (UTC)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Los Angeles Dodgers
Back the Dodgers on the moneyline; their home-field edge and Colorado’s chronic road drop-off make the current price a small but real +EV play.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Boston Red Sox to win at 1.11
25/09/10 - 02:06 (UTC)
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Boston Red Sox
Backing Boston on the moneyline at -126 for a small but real edge, driven by superior lineup depth, defense, and late-inning bullpen reliability.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Phoenix Mercury to win at 1.58
25/09/10 - 02:02 (UTC)
Phoenix Mercury
Los Angeles Sparks
Basketball
WNBA

tip from ChatGPT

Los Angeles Sparks
Phoenix is the rightful favorite, but at -286 the price is too steep—Los Angeles offers the better long-term value at +214 given league parity and matchup volatility.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Las Vegas Aces to win at 1.04
25/09/10 - 02:02 (UTC)
Las Vegas Aces
Chicago Sky
Basketball
WNBA

tip from ChatGPT

Las Vegas Aces
Aces should win, but at 11.00 the Sky moneyline is the only side with positive long-run value; 1.03 on Las Vegas is too juiced for a $1 bet.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Seattle Storm to win at 1.58
25/09/10 - 02:02 (UTC)
Seattle Storm
Golden State Valkyries
Basketball
WNBA

tip from ChatGPT

Seattle Storm
Back Seattle on the moneyline at -303; their home-court, continuity, and defensive floor make them more likely to win than the implied 75% probability.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/10 - 01:50 (UTC)
Steven Asplund
Anthony Guarascio
MMA
Mixed Martial Arts

tip from ChatGPT

Steven Asplund
Taking the underdog value on Steven Asplund at 2.37 against a modest favorite priced at 1.63, where MMA variance and a tight skill gap make the plus money side the smarter long-run play.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick San Francisco Giants to win at 1.74
25/09/10 - 01:46 (UTC)
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Arizona Diamondbacks
Take Arizona at +money; Oracle Park’s run suppression narrows the gap, and the Giants’ home premium at -132 overstates the true edge.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Seattle Mariners to win at 1.52
25/09/10 - 01:41 (UTC)
Seattle Mariners
St. Louis Cardinals
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Seattle Mariners
Back the Mariners at home at 1.56; T‑Mobile Park’s run suppression, Seattle’s bullpen, and home-field edges push their true win probability into the mid‑60s, creating a modest value over the current price.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick San Diego Padres to win at 1.56
25/09/10 - 01:41 (UTC)
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Cincinnati Reds
Backing the Reds at +176 for value in a low-scoring Petco environment that narrows the gap between teams. The Padres are worthy favorites, but the -210 price overstates their true win probability.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Minnesota Twins to win at 1.93
25/09/10 - 01:39 (UTC)
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Minnesota Twins
Back the Twins at a short road price; their superior swing-and-miss pitching and steadier bullpen make -120 a small but real value edge.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Reno Aces to win at 2.22
25/09/10 - 01:35 (UTC)
Reno Aces
Las Vegas Aviators
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Reno Aces
Back the home underdog Reno Aces at +122; PCL volatility and Reno’s hitter-friendly park make the Aviators overpriced at -171.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Lerryan Douglas to win at 1.15
25/09/10 - 01:20 (UTC)
Cam Teague
Lerryan Douglas
MMA
Mixed Martial Arts

tip from ChatGPT

Lerryan Douglas
Backing the massive favorite: Douglas’s multi-path, round-winning style justifies the big price, and even a modest edge over the implied 86% makes the chalk a small but positive EV play.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/10 - 01:05 (UTC)
Salt Lake Bees
Tacoma Rainiers
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Salt Lake Bees
Back the home underdog: Salt Lake’s high-variance, hitter-friendly environment and September roster churn make the Bees a value at +115 versus a road favorite priced at -160.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Felipe Franco to win at 1.21
25/09/10 - 00:50 (UTC)
Freddy Vidal
Felipe Franco
MMA
Mixed Martial Arts

tip from ChatGPT

Freddy Vidal
Backing the underdog for value: at 4.68, Freddy Vidal’s implied chance is just ~21%, and MMA volatility makes that price too generous versus a heavily taxed 1.21 favorite.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick El Paso Chihuahuas to win at 1.63
25/09/10 - 00:35 (UTC)
El Paso Chihuahuas
Albuquerque Isotopes
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

El Paso Chihuahuas
Back El Paso at home: the PCL’s park-and-travel dynamics make -160 a touch short, giving the Chihuahuas a small but real EV edge.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/10 - 00:30 (UTC)
Chasen Blair
Samuel Sanches
MMA
Mixed Martial Arts

tip from ChatGPT

Chasen Blair
Near pick’em pricing favors the even-money side. Take Chasen Blair at +100 in a close fight where minute-winning and variance can tilt the decision.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Shanelle Dyer to win at 1.52
25/09/10 - 00:15 (UTC)
Shanelle Dyer
Carol Foro
MMA
Mixed Martial Arts

tip from ChatGPT

Shanelle Dyer
Backing Shanelle Dyer at 1.60 as the steadier minute-winner; I rate her around 65% versus the market’s ~63%, a modest but real edge over Carol Foro at 2.43.
Lost