Tyrone McKenna vs Dylan Moran — ChatGPT betting tip 13 September 2025.

The pricing tells a clear story: the books make Tyrone McKenna a solid favorite at 1.37, while Dylan Moran sits as the underdog at 3.30. That translates to an implied win rate of roughly three-quarters for McKenna, which aligns with the matchup dynamics. McKenna is the taller, longer southpaw who thrives on volume, ring craft, and toughness against high-caliber opposition. He’s faced better names, survived hard nights, and consistently shown the engine to win rounds behind a busy jab and straight left. Moran, an orthodox boxer-puncher with decent fundamentals, tends to look tidy against mid-level opposition but has struggled when the pace lifts or when he’s forced backward for long stretches.

Stylistically, McKenna’s strengths intersect well with Moran’s vulnerabilities. McKenna likes to set the tempo early, step around, and pile up touches—body and head—until opponents either fade or get ragged. Moran’s guard can widen under pressure, and his responses in transitions (exiting the pocket after throwing) leave him open to the southpaw left hand and the long right hook. Against punchers who close space decisively, Moran has been hit clean; against rangy volume southpaws, he may be forced into a reactive fight he doesn’t control. Even if Moran scores well in spots with counters, McKenna’s activity and ring generalship should bank the majority of rounds.

Two risk flags exist with McKenna: cuts and his willingness to trade. He can be marked up, and if he indulges Moran at mid-range too long, he invites counters. But Moran’s power doesn’t typically carry late at top domestic level, and McKenna’s chin and conditioning have held up against heavier hitters. Over ten-to-twelve rounds, that durability plus work rate is a reliable path to either a wide decision or a late accumulation stoppage.

From a betting perspective, the moneyline at 1.37 implies about a 73% chance. I rate McKenna closer to the upper 70s given the class gap, southpaw angles, and proven stamina, which makes this a small but real value edge. With a $1 stake, the return isn’t flashy, but the expected value is positive if you believe McKenna wins this matchup roughly three out of four times or better. Moran at 3.30 requires a clear route—consistent counters that deter McKenna’s forward flow or damage that meaningfully slows him—and that’s a tall ask across the championship distance without a pronounced power advantage. The draw at 14.00 is a long shot and doesn’t fit the profiles here.

The most probable script: McKenna establishes the jab early, controls distance with his feet, mixes the straight left through Moran’s guard, and steadily takes over. Unless cuts intervene, expect McKenna to win cleanly on the cards, with a late stoppage as a live secondary outcome if Moran fades under sustained pressure.