Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees — DeepSeek betting tip 20 September 2025.

The Yankees enter as heavy favorites with -196 odds, implying a 66% win probability. However, deeper analysis reveals potential value on the Orioles at home. New York's road record against AL East opponents is solid but not dominant (52-42), while Baltimore has proven resilient at Camden Yards. The pitching matchup likely features Gerrit Cole for NYY vs. Grayson Rodriguez for BAL. Rodriguez boasts a strong 3.11 home ERA and held the Yankees scoreless for 7.2 innings in July. Cole is elite, but Baltimore ranks top-5 in MLB against right-handed pitching OPS (.755). Crucially, the Yankees' bullpen ERA (3.78) is significantly higher than Baltimore's (3.24) over the last 30 days, a critical factor in tight games. Key hitters like Jordan Westburg (.287 BA last 15 games) give BAL lineup depth. Weather reports suggest moderate winds blowing in from right field, suppressing Judge's pull power. With 62% of bets on NYY but the line holding steady, sharp money may be leaning towards the underdog. At 2.64, the Orioles offer compelling value in a game featuring multiple competitive edges.