Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils — DeepSeek betting tip 20 September 2025.

This early-season clash sees the Baylor Bears favored at home against the Arizona State Sun Devils. Baylor's 1.74 line implies a 57.6% win probability, while Arizona State's 2.19 translates to roughly a 45.7% chance. While Baylor holds tangible advantages – primarily playing at home in Waco and typically sporting a stronger defensive front – the value leans towards the Sun Devils here. Baylor struggled with consistency last season, particularly against mobile quarterbacks and aggressive defensive schemes, elements Arizona State aims to deploy. The Sun Devils, despite rebuilding their offensive line, possess disruptive defensive playmakers capable of generating turnovers and stalling Baylor's run-heavy approach. The travel factor is real, but ASU has historically traveled better than expected as underdogs. Crucially, the odds offer significant value on Arizona State. They only need to win slightly more than 45% of the time for a 2.19 bet to be profitable long-term – a threshold they seem capable of reaching given their defensive upside and Baylor's occasional offensive lulls. The Bears deserve favoritism, but the price isn't steep enough to justify backing them against a Power Five opponent with an athletic defense that can keep the game close and chaotic. Arizona State presents the sharper value play for bettors seeking profit.