Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees — DeepSeek betting tip 12 September 2025.

The classic Red Sox-Yankees rivalry at Fenway Park presents a compelling betting opportunity. New York enters as moderate road favorites with 1.79 odds, implying a 55.8% implied win probability before adjusting for the bookmaker's margin. After normalizing for the overround, their true probability remains approximately 53.5-54%, reflecting their offensive consistency and superior bullpen depth this season. Boston's 2.08 underdog status accounts for Fenway's home-field advantage but highlights concerns about their pitching rotation's recent volatility against power lineups. While the Red Sox thrive in divisional matchups, the Yankees' clutch hitting metrics with runners in scoring position (.292 team average since August) give them the edge in close games. Gerrit Cole's projected start further solidifies New York's run-suppression potential against Boston's left-heavy lineup. Considering the odds valuation and New York's 8-4 head-to-head record this year, the Yankees offer more reliable value despite the rivalry's unpredictability.