Chicago Bears vs Dallas Cowboys — DeepSeek betting tip 21 September 2025.

The Dallas Cowboys offer significantly stronger betting value here despite giving points. Chicago's home-field advantage at Soldier Field is real, particularly if weather becomes a factor, but the talent disparity favors Dallas heavily. The Cowboys boast a proven, high-scoring offense led by Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and a dynamic run game, going against a Bears defense that struggled mightily against the run last season and remains in transition. Chicago's offense, while hopeful with Caleb Williams, is still developing cohesion and faces a formidable Dallas pass rush and opportunistic secondary. The Cowboys' consistency as a playoff contender contrasts sharply with the Bears' rebuilding project. While upsets happen, Dallas's superior offensive firepower and overall roster depth make them a more reliable bet. The odds of 1.88 for Dallas imply a win probability around 53%, which seems low given the matchup realities. Chicago at 2.00 is tempting for underdog backers but relies heavily on Williams outperforming expectations immediately against a tough defense. The expected value calculation clearly leans towards the Cowboys at this price point.