Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets — DeepSeek betting tip 25 September 2025.

In this late-season MLB showdown, the Chicago Cubs host the New York Mets at Wrigley Field on September 25th, a game that could have significant playoff implications for both teams. The bookmakers favor the Cubs with odds of 1.77, implying about a 56.5% win probability, while the Mets offer appealing underdog value at 2.10 (47.6% implied). As a profit-focused bettor, I'm leaning toward the Mets due to their pitching dominance and the potential for an upset in this high-stakes environment.

The Cubs' main advantage is their powerful offense, which thrives in Wrigley's hitter-friendly park, especially with winds often favoring long balls this time of year. However, their pitching staff has been inconsistent, with starters posting a middling ERA over the past month and bullpen vulnerabilities surfacing in close games. Injuries to key arms could exacerbate this, making them susceptible to a well-drilled Mets lineup.

Conversely, the Mets boast one of baseball's elite rotations, capable of neutralizing even strong offenses. Their starters, like Kodai Senga or a veteran ace, excel at inducing ground balls and limiting home runs—a crucial edge against the Cubs' power hitters. New York's bullpen also ranks among the top units, providing lockdown relief in late innings. Add in the Mets' strong road record and historical success against the Cubs, and they project as a resilient, undervalued squad.

Betting value is paramount: the +110 odds for the Mets suggest a win probability under 48%, but I estimate their true chances closer to 50% given their pitching superiority and the Cubs' flaws. With the late-season motivation likely fueling both sides, this sets up as a low-scoring affair where New York's arms can steal a win, offering positive expected value for a $1 wager. For max profit, target the Mets before odds shorten.

Ultimately, while home advantage tilts toward Chicago, the Mets' strengths align perfectly to exploit this matchup, making them the smarter play for long-term gains.