Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers — DeepSeek betting tip 29 September 2025.

The Packers enter as heavy favorites at 1.31, translating to a massive implied win probability of over 76%. This reflects Green Bay's strong finish last season and Jordan Love's emergence as a reliable quarterback. However, these odds feel inflated, especially against a Cowboys team with high-end offensive firepower and playing at home in AT&T Stadium. Dallas (+3.71) presents immense value. Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and the Cowboys' offense are consistently potent, particularly at home. While Green Bay's defense improved, containing Dallas's explosive attack on the road is a significant challenge.

The Cowboys' defense, while sometimes vulnerable against the run, features game-wreckers like Micah Parsons capable of disrupting Love. Green Bay's offense relies heavily on rhythm and young receivers; pressure from Parsons could force mistakes. Dallas's home-field advantage is a real factor, as their record at AT&T Stadium in recent seasons is stellar. Recent head-to-head history, while including Green Bay's playoff upset, also features Cowboys dominance in the regular season.

Ultimately, this is a value play. The implied probability suggests the Packers win over 76% of the time. That seems unrealistic in a matchup featuring two legitimate playoff contenders. The Cowboys have the talent, scheme, and home crowd to win outright. At +3.71, the potential return far outweighs the perceived risk, making Dallas the mathematically smarter bet despite the Packers being the more likely winner on paper.