Dean Garnett vs Jan Cieplowski — DeepSeek betting tip 26 September 2025.

The stark odds difference tells us this is Jan Cieplowski's fight to lose. His American odds of 1.33 translate to an implied probability north of 75%, reflecting his status as the clear favorite. This confidence stems from several tangible advantages. At 28, Cieplowski possesses significant youth and athleticism over the 36-year-old Garnett, crucial in a sport where reaction time and recovery fade. His recent form boasts a higher finishing rate, with 3 decisive KOs/TKOs in his last 4 wins, showcasing devastating striking power that Garnett's primarily decision-based record suggests he may struggle to withstand.

Garnett, while experienced and technically sound, hasn't consistently faced or overcome the level of explosive aggression Cieplowski brings. His path to victory likely requires dragging the fight into deep waters via grappling, hoping to exploit potential cardio issues or secure a submission. However, Cieplowski's defensive grappling and takedown defense appear robust enough to keep the fight standing where his power advantage is maximized.

The betting market heavily favors Cieplowski for good reason. While Garnett's 3.05 odds offer a tempting potential payout, the sheer probability points firmly towards the Polish fighter. Expect Cieplowski to leverage his youth, superior stopping power, and momentum to control the stand-up exchanges, eventually overwhelming Garnett for a stoppage or dominant decision win. The value, despite the lower return, lies with the rightful favorite.