Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva — DeepSeek betting tip 14 September 2025.

Jean Silva enters as the betting favorite, but Diego Lopes presents significant underdog value that's hard to ignore. Silva's 1.42 odds imply a high win probability (around 70%), reflecting his undefeated UFC run and devastating knockout power. However, this line feels inflated. Silva's recent win over Charles Jourdain exposed concerns – he missed weight badly, raising questions about discipline and preparation, and Jourdain landed significant strikes before getting stopped. Lopes, despite his underdog 2.98 status, is a massive step up in competition for Silva. Lopes possesses elite Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu credentials and relentless grappling pressure. He's secured first-round submissions in his last two UFC wins and averages over 3 takedowns per 15 minutes. Crucially, Silva's takedown defense looked porous against Jourdain, who landed 3 of 5 attempts. If Lopes consistently gets this fight to the mat, his submission threat is immediate and severe. While Silva's power on the feet is undeniable, Lopes has shown a durable chin and the ability to weather storms. The stylistic matchup heavily favors Lopes if he can implement his grappling game. Silva's hype and finishing ability have driven the odds, but Lopes' proven submission skills against tougher competition and Silva's defensive grappling vulnerabilities create a compelling value proposition. At nearly 2-to-1 odds, Lopes offers a high-reward bet on a fighter with a clear, viable path to victory.