Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons — DeepSeek betting tip 13 September 2025.

This NPB clash presents a fascinating value opportunity. While Chunichi enters as moderate favorites at 1.81, implying roughly a 55% chance of victory, a deeper dive suggests the home-standing Hiroshima Toyo Carp at 2.09 offers compelling value. Recent form heavily favors Hiroshima, particularly at Mazda Stadium. The Carp boast a formidable 8-2 record in their last 10 home games, showcasing strong pitching (a league-leading team ERA over the past month) and timely hitting.

Conversely, the Dragons have struggled significantly on the road, posting a dismal 3-7 record in their last 10 away contests. Their starting pitching, expected here, has shown vulnerability recently. While Chunichi holds a slight edge in the season series (3-2), Hiroshima secured a convincing win in their most recent encounter.

Key factors tilt towards the Carp: substantial home-field advantage, superior recent pitching performances, and momentum. The odds seem to slightly overvalue Chunichi based on overall record rather than current form and venue-specific performance. At plus-money (2.09), backing the Carp provides better risk-reward against a road-weary opponent. The value lies with Hiroshima capitalizing on their home dominance against a team struggling away from Nagoya Dome.