In Soo Hwang vs Paddy Mccorry — DeepSeek betting tip 17 September 2025.

Paddy Mccorry presents the sharper value play despite requiring a heavier stake. His 1.44 odds imply a 69.2% win probability, which aligns better with his established profile versus Hwang's relative obscurity. Mccorry likely holds technical striking advantages and defensive grappling sufficient to neutralize Hwang's potential paths to victory. While Hwang's 2.89 underdog odds are tempting, they demand near a 35% win probability to break even – a threshold difficult to justify without visible stylistic advantages or proven fight-ending power against a solid favorite. The market pricing reflects risk aversion toward Hwang, whose limited footage makes skill assessment speculative. Unless Hwang possesses an elite, hidden grappling game specifically tailored to exploit Mccorry (unlikely given the odds gap), Mccorry’s consistency and higher floor offer the more reliable ROI. Betting involves risk, but the price on the favorite holds stronger mathematical justification here.

The significant odds disparity suggests the market heavily favors Mccorry for good reason. Unless concrete evidence emerges of Hwang possessing a distinct, fight-altering weapon unaccounted for in the line, the expected value calculation firmly points toward the favorite. Mccorry's ability to control range and avoid high-variance exchanges should see him through to a decision or late stoppage.