Ishmael Davis vs Caoimhin Agyarko — DeepSeek betting tip 13 September 2025.

Ishmael Davis presents the stronger value proposition here despite the favorite odds. Digging into the records reveals key differentiators: Davis (13-0, 5 KOs) has consistently faced and defeated higher-caliber opposition than Agyarko (14-1, 7 KOs). Davis showed impressive resilience and skill going 10 tough rounds against the durable Troy Williamson, a significant step up in competition. In contrast, while Agyarko possesses slick counter-punching and power, his sole step-up fight also came against Williamson, resulting in his first professional loss. That defeat raises questions about his ability to handle elite pressure at this level.

Stylistically, Davis's high work rate, physical strength, and relentless pressure are potent weapons. He excels at cutting off the ring and imposing his will, particularly in the later rounds where his conditioning shines. Agyarko, while technically sound, can sometimes operate at a slower pace and struggled visibly when Williamson applied constant aggression – a blueprint Davis is well-equipped to follow. Davis's proven stamina and ability to maintain intensity beyond the midway point are significant advantages against Agyarko, whose durability under sustained pressure from a top-tier opponent remains unproven.

The odds reflect Davis as the favorite (1.73), implying roughly a 58% implied probability. Given his superior strength of schedule, proven performance against elite domestic opposition (including the common opponent Williamson), and a style that directly challenges Agyarko's potential weaknesses exposed in his lone defeat, this probability feels justified, perhaps even slightly conservative. Agyarko's underdog price (2.19) is tempting given his own skills, but the evidence points more strongly towards Davis dictating the fight. Expect Davis to wear down Agyarko over the distance, leveraging his pressure and experience to secure a points decision or potentially a late stoppage.