Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens — DeepSeek betting tip 28 September 2025.

This AFC Championship rematch presents compelling tactical dynamics. Kansas City's explosive offense, led by Patrick Mahomes, always threatens, but Baltimore's league-leading defense under Mike Macdonald poses unique problems. The Ravens' ferocious pass rush, generating pressure at a top-3 rate, directly exploits KC's inconsistent offensive line play. Lamar Jackson's dual-threat ability forces defenses into compromised positions, and his rushing threat combined with Baltimore's potent ground game controls clock and tempo, limiting Mahomes' possessions.

While Mahomes is a proven playoff performer, Baltimore holds significant home-field advantage and boasts superior roster health entering this contest. Crucially, the value proposition favors the Ravens. Converting odds to implied probability reveals Baltimore at 1.70 (approx. 59%) and KC at 2.27 (approx. 44%), showing slight bookmaker overround. Given Baltimore's defensive dominance, Jackson's MVP-caliber form, and the home edge, their true win probability likely exceeds 59%, making the 1.70 price a more efficient bet despite the favorite status.