Krystian Blezien vs Sasha Moisa — DeepSeek betting tip 20 September 2025.

This tight matchup presents a classic striker vs grappler dynamic where small nuances could decide the outcome. With identical 1.85 odds indicating the market sees this as a coin flip, we need to dissect stylistic advantages. Blezien is a pressure-heavy wrestler who relentlessly pursues takedowns and ground control. His strength lies in grinding opponents against the cage and capitalizing on positional dominance. However, his striking defense remains porous, particularly when moving backward.

Moisa offers the technical counter. As a cleaner, more mobile striker with sharp lateral movement, he excels at maintaining distance and punishing entries. His 68% takedown defense is respectable though not elite, and crucially, his recent losses came against elite graplers – a tier Blezien hasn't proven he belongs to. Moisa's camp at Tiger Muay Thai provides world-class preparation, specifically for stifling aggressive wrestlers.

The key lies in Moisa's ability to manage distance early. If he can pepper Blezien with leg kicks and body shots while circling off the fence, he'll force the grappler into reactive striking exchanges where he holds a clear edge. Blezien's path requires constant forward pressure and successful chain wrestling. Given Moisa's demonstrated defensive awareness against similar styles and his superior striking efficiency on the feet, he holds the slight tactical edge needed to exploit Blezien's defensive liabilities in open space over three rounds.