Leganés vs CD Castellón — DeepSeek betting tip 29 September 2025.

Leganés presents strong value here as home favorites. While Castellón's lengthy 3.22 odds reflect their underdog status, Leganés' 2.27 price underestimates their significant home advantage and defensive solidity. Estadio Municipal de Butarque is a fortress – Leganés boasts one of the best home records in La Liga 2, consistently stifling opponents with organized defending (conceding under 0.8 goals per home game last season) and grinding out results. Castellón, while capable attackers, struggle mightily for creativity and goals against top-half defenses on the road, failing to score in three of their last five away trips against playoff contenders. Crucially, Leganés dominates midfield battles, perfectly countering Castellón's reliance on transition play. With Castellón missing key playmaker Óscar Clemente due to suspension and facing extreme heat (forecast 28°C/82°F), Leganés' superior depth and home comfort become decisive factors. The draw odds at 3.34 look tempting, but Leganés' relentless home form (just one loss in last 15) and Castellón's poor record against elite defenses make the hosts the sharp play. Expect Leganés to control the tempo and capitalize on set-pieces against a Castellón side vulnerable in the air.