Memphis Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks — DeepSeek betting tip 20 September 2025.

This cross-conference matchup presents intriguing value on the home underdog. Arkansas enters as heavy favorites (-287), implying roughly 74% win probability, while Memphis sits at a juicy +235 (30% implied probability). That gap feels excessive considering Memphis boasts a significant home-field advantage at the Liberty Bowl (13-1 record over past two seasons) and returns QB Seth Henigan, leading a potent offense that averaged 39.4 ppg last season. Arkansas struggled mightily in 2023 (4-8 record) and allowed 34 points per game in SEC play. While they have new OC Bobby Petrino, road openers in hostile environments are notoriously tricky. The Razorbacks' defense, particularly the secondary, remains vulnerable. Memphis, battle-tested in the AAC, possesses the offensive firepower to exploit this. Arkansas' talent edge is real, but not enough to justify these odds on the road against a proven scoring machine. The value clearly lies with Memphis at 3.35.