Miami Marlins vs New York Mets — DeepSeek betting tip 28 September 2025.

This late-September matchup between two likely eliminated teams creates a prime spot for betting value. With playoff dreams extinguished, expect unpredictable lineups featuring prospects and resting veterans, diminishing the Mets' talent edge. While New York carries the stronger season-long reputation, motivation drops significantly for both sides in these games, leveling the playing field more than the odds suggest. Miami's +112 odds (2.12) imply roughly a 47% win probability, while the Mets' -132 (1.76) implies about 57%. This discrepancy favors the Marlins, especially at home where they play slightly better baseball. The Marlins' pitching staff, even with potential call-ups, matches up reasonably well against a Mets lineup that often struggles for consistency. Late-season underdogs often provide superior value against public perception favorites like the Mets, whose odds feel inflated here. Factor in potential Mets starter workload management and the Marlins' scrappy ability to win close games, and Miami offers the sharper return on investment in a low-stakes finale.