Michelle Montague vs Luana Carolina — DeepSeek betting tip 28 September 2025.

Michelle Montague enters as a significant favorite for good reason. Her elite grappling pedigree, honed through an undefeated amateur run and IMMAF championships, presents a nightmare stylistic matchup for Luana Carolina. Montague's relentless takedown pressure and high-level submission acumen directly exploit Carolina's primary weakness – defending against grapplers. Carolina's UFC record shows vulnerability on the mat, suffering submission losses to top control specialists. While Carolina holds a clear advantage in striking technique and reach, Montague's fight IQ suggests she won't engage in a prolonged stand-up battle. She'll close distance aggressively, initiate clinches, and drag this fight to the canvas where she holds overwhelming dominance.

The odds reflect this reality. Montague at 1.41 implies roughly a 71% implied probability, representing solid value given the stylistic clash. Carolina's 3.05 underdog status offers intrigue but relies heavily on her landing a fight-changing strike before Montague imposes her grappling game. Carolina's recent win over Ivana Petrović showed improved takedown defense initially, but Petrović is not the caliber of grappler Montague projects to be. Expect Montague to weather early striking exchanges, secure takedowns, and steadily work towards dominant positions or a submission finish.

Betting the Draw at 50.00 holds virtually no value in MMA, particularly in a matchup favoring one fighter's ground control so decisively. While MMA carries inherent volatility, the path to victory for Montague is far clearer and more reliable. Her ability to dictate where the fight occurs makes her the smart, profit-focused pick at these odds.