Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Marshall Thundering Herd — DeepSeek betting tip 20 September 2025.

Marshall enters this matchup as the clear favorite, and the odds reflect a significant edge when analyzing value. At 1.72, the Thundering Herd's implied probability of winning is approximately 58% after accounting for the bookmaker's vig. This aligns with their superior defensive pedigree—ranking 31st nationally in total defense last season—while Middle Tennessee’s defense was among the worst, allowing 466 yards per game. Marshall’s new offensive coordinator, Seth Doege, brings a modern passing scheme that should exploit MTSU’s secondary vulnerabilities, especially with the Blue Raiders breaking in a new starting QB and offensive line. Middle Tennessee’s home-field advantage is mitigated by their 1-4 home conference record in 2023, and Marshall’s recent dominance in this series (four straight wins) further tilts the scales. Considering MTSU’s offensive uncertainty and Marshall’s defensive consistency, the Thundering Herd’s true win probability likely exceeds 60%, making their odds undervalued for a high-confidence play.