Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Houston Baptist Huskies — DeepSeek betting tip 13 September 2025.

This matchup features one of college football's most extreme mismatches. Nebraska, a Power Five program with Big Ten resources and 85 scholarship athletes, faces Houston Baptist - an FCS team transitioning to the Southland Conference with just 63 partial scholarships. The physical disparities are staggering: Nebraska's offensive and defensive lines will outweigh HBU by over 100 pounds per man on average. This creates an unwinnable trench war where Nebraska can run at will while suffocating HBU's offense.

Historically, FCS-over-FBS upsets occur in just 0.4% of matchups, and never when the FBS program is a Power Five team favored by this margin. HBU is 0-11 all-time against FBS opponents, losing those games by an average score of 59-9 - including a 66-0 defeat to Texas Tech last season. Nebraska, despite recent struggles, has consistently demolished FCS foes by 30+ points.

The astronomical odds tell the story: Nebraska at 1.00 implies a 99.9% win probability, while HBU's 201.00 implies just 0.5%. Though the potential HBU payout is tantalizing, it drastically overstates their actual chances. For perspective, you'd need HBU to win once every 201 games just to break even - yet the historical data shows it happens far less frequently in this tier mismatch.

Ultimately, this is a 'body bag' game for HBU - a paid guarantee matchup where avoiding injuries is their primary goal. Nebraska will name the score by halftime. While betting $1,000 to win $1 on Nebraska feels absurd, it remains the only statistically justifiable play given the near-certain outcome.