New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles — DeepSeek betting tip 28 September 2025.

The Orioles present compelling betting value at 2.44 against the heavily favored Yankees. While the Yankees boast home-field advantage and a potent lineup, Baltimore has demonstrated consistent competitiveness in this divisional matchup throughout the season, holding a slight edge in recent head-to-head meetings. Key to this pick is the late September timing. Playoff seeding might be largely determined, potentially leading New York to strategically rest key veteran starters or bullpen arms, diminishing their usual dominance. Conversely, Baltimore's young, energetic core often plays aggressively regardless of standings, motivated to prove themselves against elite competition. Their excellent bullpen depth (ranking among MLB's top 5 in ERA) is crucial for navigating the later innings against the Yankees' power bats. While the Yankees' -172 odds reflect their overall strength, they don't sufficiently account for the specific situational dynamics and Baltimore's proven ability to challenge them. The Orioles' combination of strong pitching matchups, situational motivation, and undervalued odds creates a clear +EV opportunity.