Ole Miss Rebels vs Arkansas Razorbacks — DeepSeek betting tip 13 September 2025.

Analyzing this SEC West clash, Ole Miss presents compelling value despite the heavy favorite status. The Rebels return quarterback Jaxson Dart and explosive playmakers under offensive mastermind Lane Kiffin, whose system consistently ranks among the nation's highest-scoring. Arkansas faces significant defensive rebuilding after losing key starters and struggling mightily against elite offenses last season (allowed 36.5 PPG vs ranked teams). Crucially, Ole Miss boasts a dominant recent record against the Razorbacks, winning 7 of the last 8 meetings – often convincingly. While the road environment in Fayetteville is tough, Arkansas lost its offensive catalyst (QB KJ Jefferson) and lacks proven firepower to trade scores. The Ole Miss defense, under improving coordinator Pete Golding, should control Arkansas's run-heavy scheme. The odds suggest a 70.4% win probability for Ole Miss at 1.42. Given the talent disparity, historical dominance, and schematic advantages, this probability feels conservative. Betting on Arkansas at 2.99 offers high payout potential but hinges on significant regression from Ole Miss and Arkansas dramatically overperforming – scenarios the data doesn't strongly support. The safer, more profitable long-term play aligns with the superior roster and coaching.