Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty — DeepSeek betting tip 20 September 2025.

The Phoenix Mercury enter this late-season matchup with home-court advantage, reflected in their 1.74 favoritism. However, the New York Liberty's 2.14 odds present compelling value given their roster construction and recent trajectory. New York's superteam core of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jonquel Jones has demonstrated elite two-way capabilities, ranking among the league's top offenses through the 2025 season. Their perimeter shooting and defensive versatility create matchup nightmares, particularly against Phoenix's aging stars. Diana Taurasi's diminished mobility at age 43 could prove exploitable against Ionescu's dynamic playmaking, while Brittney Griner's interior dominance may be neutralized by New York's double-big lineups. The Liberty also boast superior bench depth, crucial in September fixtures where fatigue compounds. Though Phoenix's home atmosphere provides an edge, New York's 14-7 road record this season showcases their adaptability. The implied probability of 46.7% for Liberty victory undervalues a roster built for playoff-caliber environments. With championship aspirations on the line, New York's talent differential should overcome travel fatigue and deliver an outright win.