Real Sociedad vs Mallorca — DeepSeek betting tip 24 September 2025.

Real Sociedad enters this home fixture as clear favorites, and the odds reflect their consistent superiority over Mallorca. At Anoeta Stadium, La Real boasts a formidable record, losing just twice at home in La Liga last season. Their organized midfield and creative attackers like Mikel Oyarzabal should dominate possession against a Mallorca side that averaged under 30% away possession in 2024/25.

Mallorca's defensive resilience can't be ignored—they held opponents to a draw in 35% of away games last term—but their attacking limitations are glaring. With only 12 away goals in the previous campaign and no significant summer reinforcements, they lack the firepower to exploit Real Sociedad's occasionally vulnerable high line. Key injuries or suspensions could shift dynamics, but assuming full squads, Sociedad's press and home crowd should overwhelm Mallorca's low block.

The value lies with Sociedad at 1.84. While the draw at 3.52 offers tempting odds, Mallorca's win probability at 4.80 seems inflated given historical mismatches. Sociedad won both H2H meetings last season by 2+ goals, and their 75% home win rate against bottom-half teams since 2023 makes this the sharpest bet despite shorter odds.