Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid — DeepSeek betting tip 13 September 2025.

Real Madrid enters as heavy favorites (-183), but this Anoeta clash presents significant value on Real Sociedad (+402). Historically, Sociedad performs exceptionally well at home against Madrid, securing draws in 3 of their last 5 meetings here. Madrid's defensive vulnerabilities, especially without a fully settled center-back pairing and potential fatigue from midweek Champions League duties, create openings. Sociedad's intense high press and physical midfield, anchored by Merino and Zubimendi, can disrupt Madrid's rhythm. Kubo and Oyarzabal possess the pace and creativity to exploit spaces behind Madrid's attacking full-backs on the counter. While Madrid boasts superior individual talent like Bellingham and Vinicius, early season fixtures often see favorites underperform. Sociedad's home advantage, combined with inflated odds reflecting Madrid's reputation more than current matchup specifics, makes the home side the intelligent value play. The draw 4.28 also holds merit, but Sociedad's odds offer substantially higher upside given their proven ability to take points off Madrid in this stadium.