Red Star Belgrade vs Celtic — DeepSeek betting tip 24 September 2025.

This Europa League clash presents an intriguing value opportunity. Red Star Belgrade's fearsome home advantage at the Marakana cannot be overstated. They've lost just 2 of their last 50 European home matches, creating one of the continent's most intimidating atmospheres. This sheer defensive resilience in Belgrade often disrupts visiting teams' rhythm, and Celtic's inconsistent away form in Europe (only 1 win in their last 10 UCL/UEL away games) suggests they could struggle. While Celtic boasts superior individual attacking talent, their midfield will miss the injured captain Callum McGregor deeply, disrupting their build-up play. Belgrade retained their core from last season's domestic dominance, ensuring cohesion, whereas Celtic's newer signings are still integrating tactically.

Weather could also play a factor; potential rain favors Belgrade's more physical, direct approach over Celtic's preferred possession-based style. Crucially, the odds undervalue Belgrade's home edge. Celtic at 2.57 (implied probability ~38%) seems inflated given their travel woes, while Belgrade at 2.69 (implied probability ~37%) offers significant value considering their fortress-like home record and defensive organization. The draw at 3.46 is tempting but underestimates Belgrade's tendency to push for wins at home in crucial European ties, especially against a direct group rival.

Ultimately, this leans towards a tight, low-scoring affair, but the massive home advantage, Celtic's missing key leader, and the mispriced odds create a compelling case for backing the Serbian champions. Expect a cagey start, but Belgrade’s physicality and set-piece threat could prove decisive in edging it.