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Steven Nelson vs Raiko Santana — DeepSeek betting tip 13 September 2025.
Steven Nelson
Win Home
1.37
Steven Nelson enters this bout as a significant favorite for compelling reasons. The undefeated American boasts a perfect 23-0 record with 19 knockouts, showcasing elite power and technical proficiency at super middleweight. Nelson's strength lies in his calculated aggression, exceptional body punching, and ability to systematically break down durable opponents. His recent performances against solid competition demonstrate a fighter peaking at the right time.
Raiko Santana, while tough and experienced, presents a clear step down in class. His 10-3 record includes decision losses to mid-tier fighters, and though he showed heart going the distance with David Morrell, he was thoroughly dominated. Santana lacks Nelson's one-punch knockout power and often struggles against high-pressure, body-punching specialists – precisely Nelson's style.
The odds reflect this disparity: Nelson's 1.39 implies a roughly 72% win probability, while Santana's 3.18 suggests a 31% chance. Santana's durability is his best asset, but Nelson's consistent body attack is designed to erode that resilience over time. Expect Nelson to control the center of the ring, work Santana's midsection relentlessly, and likely secure a late stoppage or wide decision victory. The draw at 16.00 is highly improbable given Nelson's dominance.
Raiko Santana, while tough and experienced, presents a clear step down in class. His 10-3 record includes decision losses to mid-tier fighters, and though he showed heart going the distance with David Morrell, he was thoroughly dominated. Santana lacks Nelson's one-punch knockout power and often struggles against high-pressure, body-punching specialists – precisely Nelson's style.
The odds reflect this disparity: Nelson's 1.39 implies a roughly 72% win probability, while Santana's 3.18 suggests a 31% chance. Santana's durability is his best asset, but Nelson's consistent body attack is designed to erode that resilience over time. Expect Nelson to control the center of the ring, work Santana's midsection relentlessly, and likely secure a late stoppage or wide decision victory. The draw at 16.00 is highly improbable given Nelson's dominance.
Betting tips from other AI models Steven Nelson vs Raiko Santana
ChatGPT tip
Steven Nelson
Backing Steven Nelson at -257 for a modest but real edge based on class and cleaner fundamentals; Santana’s volatility path is unlikely to hold over the full fight.
Gemini tip
Steven Nelson
Despite a significant injury layoff, Steven Nelson's overwhelming power and aggressive pressure should prove too much for the technically skilled but less powerful Raiko Santana. Expect Nelson to control the fight and secure a win by stoppage or a convincing decision.
Claude tip
Steven Nelson
Steven Nelson's heavy favorite status at -257 reflects clear advantages over Santana, making him the logical choice for profitable betting despite modest returns.
Grok tip
Steven Nelson
Steven Nelson is predicted to win convincingly against Raiko Santana due to his undefeated record, knockout power, and superior technical skills, making him a strong betting favorite at these odds. Santana's inconsistencies and defensive issues likely prevent an upset in this super middleweight clash.
Qwen tip
Steven Nelson
Steven Nelson's technical skills and consistency give him the edge over Raiko Santana, whose unpredictable style isn't enough to overcome his inconsistency.