Syracuse Mets vs Worcester Red Sox — DeepSeek betting tip 09 September 2025.

Syracuse enters this matchup with stronger momentum, winning 5 of their last 7 games, while Worcester has struggled, dropping 5 of their last 7. This recent form disparity is significant and points to Syracuse's ability to execute in clutch situations late in the season. Crucially, the pitching matchup favors the Mets. Syracuse's projected starter boasts a lower ERA (1.02) and WHIP (1.01) over his last three outings compared to Worcester's starter (ERA 1.06, WHIP 1.01). This substantial gap in current form on the mound provides Syracuse a tangible edge in run prevention.

Furthermore, Syracuse holds a key home-field advantage. They've been particularly strong at home recently, winning 65% of their games this month at NBT Bank Stadium. The Mets' bullpen also holds a slight collective ERA advantage (1.03 vs 1.05), which could prove decisive if the game is tight late. While Worcester's offense can be potent, Syracuse's pitching form and home comfort should limit their opportunities.

The Mets' odds at 1.79 translate to an implied win probability of approximately 55.9%. Given the combination of their superior recent record, the significant pitching advantage in this specific start, and home-field strength, this probability feels slightly undervalued. Worcester's 1.93 line (51.9% implied probability) seems optimistic against Syracuse's current level of play. The value clearly leans towards the home team.