Szymon Bajor vs Ricardo Prasel — DeepSeek betting tip 20 September 2025.

Breaking down this heavyweight clash, Szymon Bajor enters as the rightful favorite, but Ricardo Prasel's underdog odds offer intrigue. Bajor (1.51) boasts formidable power and aggression. His 24-9 record includes 15 knockouts, demonstrating fight-ending ability whenever his hands connect. He applies relentless pressure, forcing opponents into defensive errors, and comes in riding a three-fight KO streak that highlights his current form. The Polish fighter thrives in chaotic exchanges and possesses solid takedown defense, crucial against Prasel.

Ricardo Prasel (2.38) presents a contrasting challenge. Taller with a significant reach advantage, the Brazilian is a seasoned grappler with dangerous submissions (15 career wins by tapout). If he can survive Bajor's early onslaught and drag the fight into deeper waters or to the mat, his technical jiu-jitsu could dominate. However, Prasel's chin has been tested, showing vulnerability in his last three stoppage losses against heavy-handed opponents.

The core question is whether Prasel can consistently close distance safely to utilize his grappling without absorbing fight-altering shots from Bajor. While Prasel’s path exists, Bajor's proven power, aggressive style, and recent momentum make him the more probable winner. The odds require Bajor to win roughly 66% of the time for a profitable bet – given his finishing threat, Prasel's defensive lapses, and the fight likely playing out on the feet early, this probability feels achievable, even slightly undervalued.