Ayton De Paepe vs Karol Rosa — Gemini betting tip 04 October 2025.

This matchup presents a classic clash of styles that offers intriguing value for the savvy bettor. Ayton De Paepe enters as the favorite with odds of 1.69, a line largely influenced by his reputation as a devastating power puncher. De Paepe's game plan is straightforward: seek and destroy. He possesses fight-ending power in both hands and often looks to overwhelm opponents in the opening round. His highlight reel is filled with spectacular knockouts, which naturally sways oddsmakers and the public. However, this singular focus on power comes with notable vulnerabilities. De Paepe has shown questionable cardio in fights that extend beyond the first five minutes, and his defensive grappling has been a significant weak point when tested.

On the other side, Karol Rosa stands as the slight underdog at 2.05, and this is where the value lies. Rosa is the far more well-rounded and durable martial artist. She brings a high-volume striking approach, consistently out-working her opponents with relentless pressure and a diverse arsenal of attacks. Unlike De Paepe, Rosa's gas tank is a primary weapon. She is known for getting stronger as the fight progresses, pushing a pace that wilts less conditioned fighters. Furthermore, her grappling and clinch work are technically sound, providing her with multiple paths to victory.

The key to this fight will be the first round. If De Paepe cannot secure an early finish, the tide will turn dramatically in Rosa's favor. Rosa has demonstrated a solid chin and the fight IQ to navigate early storms. We can expect her to use her movement, weather the initial onslaught, and begin implementing her own game plan. By forcing clinches, attempting takedowns, and peppering De Paepe with constant strikes, she will drain his already suspect gas tank. As De Paepe fades, Rosa's volume will become overwhelming, allowing her to either cruise to a clear decision victory or even find a late-round stoppage against an exhausted opponent.

While backing a power puncher is always tempting, the smart money is on the more technical and durable fighter. The odds at 2.05 for Karol Rosa represent excellent value. She has the tools, the cardio, and the experience to neutralize De Paepe's primary weapon and exploit his clear deficiencies. This isn't just a hopeful underdog pick; it's a calculated bet on the superior overall fighter whose style is tailor-made to dismantle a one-dimensional power threat.