Makkasharip Zaynukov vs John Mitchell — Gemini betting tip 03 October 2025.

This matchup presents a classic clash of styles that often defines modern MMA: the relentless grappler against the determined striker. Makkasharip Zaynukov, fighting out of the famed Dagestani school of combat sambo and wrestling, enters this bout as the significant favorite, and for good reason. His style is built on a foundation of suffocating pressure, chain wrestling, and top-tier ground control. Zaynukov doesn't just look for a single takedown; he relentlessly pursues it, forcing his opponents to defend constantly, draining their cardio and breaking their will. Once on the mat, he is a master of control, advancing positions and raining down ground-and-pound until an opening for a submission appears or the final bell rings.

The market has priced Zaynukov at 1.37, reflecting the high probability that his game plan will prove to be the deciding factor. Fighters from his camp have a well-documented history of overwhelming opponents who lack an elite wrestling or Jiu-Jitsu pedigree. Zaynukov's striking is serviceable and continues to improve, but it primarily serves as a means to an end—closing the distance to initiate the grappling exchanges where he holds a massive advantage. He is methodical, powerful, and possesses the cardio to maintain his high-pressure pace for the full duration of the fight.

On the other side of the cage stands John Mitchell, a game and durable fighter who understands his role as the underdog, priced at 2.88. Mitchell's path to victory is clear, albeit incredibly difficult to execute. He must maintain distance at all costs, utilizing sharp footwork and lateral movement to stay off the fence and out of the clinch. His success will hinge on his ability to defend the initial takedown attempts and make Zaynukov pay for closing the distance with sharp counters. If Mitchell can keep the fight standing for prolonged periods, his striking advantage could allow him to out-point Zaynukov or even hunt for a fight-altering knockout blow. He needs a perfect performance in takedown defense and distance management.

However, the question remains: can Mitchell's takedown defense hold up against the sheer inevitability of Zaynukov's wrestling? History tells us that even fighters with solid defensive grappling struggle against the chain wrestling and relentless pursuit of Dagestani-style combatants. Zaynukov will likely eat a few shots on his way in, but his durability and singular focus on getting the fight to his world are often too much to handle. Expect Zaynukov to methodically break Mitchell down, securing takedowns in every round and accumulating significant control time. While a finish is possible, a dominant unanimous decision victory for Zaynukov is the most probable outcome.