New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers — Gemini betting tip 02 October 2025.

While the New York Knicks enter this preseason matchup as the clear favorites, the betting value overwhelmingly lies with the underdog Philadelphia 76ers. The odds of 1.49 on the Knicks reflect their strong regular-season identity and the intensity that coach Tom Thibodeau brings to every game, including exhibitions. It's true that Thibs is less likely to rest his key players entirely compared to other coaches, which gives New York a higher floor in a game like this. Jalen Brunson and the core group are known for their effort, and that won't change.

However, we must weigh this against the fundamental nature of preseason basketball. The primary objective isn't winning; it's player evaluation, system implementation, and getting players conditioned without risking injury. For a team like the 76ers, whose championship aspirations hinge on the health of Joel Embiid, it's almost certain their superstar will see minimal, if any, court time. Tyrese Maxey's minutes will also likely be managed carefully. This might seem like a disadvantage, but it creates a unique opportunity for bettors.

The game will largely be decided by the players deep on the bench—the second and third-stringers, two-way contract players, and training camp invitees. These are athletes playing for their careers, looking to secure a roster spot or a role in the rotation. Their intensity and motivation will be at 100%, regardless of the scoreboard. This raw effort from Philadelphia's depth can easily match up against a Knicks squad that will also inevitably turn to its own reserves for the bulk of the second half. In this context, the talent gap between the two teams narrows considerably.

Ultimately, this bet comes down to price. Is a Thibodeau-coached Knicks team worth a 1.49 price tag in a meaningless game? The answer is a firm no. The inherent volatility of preseason makes such heavy favoritism unjustified. The 2.70 odds on the 76ers offer a fantastic return on a scenario that is far more likely than the market suggests. We are betting on the chaos of preseason and the high motivation of hungry players, making the 76ers the sharp, value-driven choice.