Omar El Dafrawy vs Florim Zendeli — Gemini betting tip 03 October 2025.

This matchup presents a classic and compelling clash of styles that often produces memorable fights: the grappler versus the striker. Omar El Dafrawy enters as the clear favorite with odds of 1.52, and for good reason. His fighting style is built upon a foundation of relentless pressure, suffocating top control, and methodical ground-and-pound. El Dafrawy's primary objective will be to close the distance, negate his opponent's reach and power, and drag the fight into his world on the canvas. Once there, he is known for being incredibly difficult to shake, using his weight and technique to drain his opponent's cardio while searching for submissions or openings for fight-ending strikes.

On the other side of the cage stands Florim Zendeli, a dangerous underdog whose 2.38 odds offer tempting value for those who believe in the power of a single punch. Zendeli is a striker through and through, likely possessing crisp boxing and a powerful kicking game. His entire game plan will revolve around maintaining distance, using footwork to stay off the fence, and punishing El Dafrawy every time he attempts to shoot for a takedown. The key for Zendeli will be his takedown defense and his ability to get back to his feet if he does get taken down. If he can keep this fight standing for the majority of the rounds, his chances of landing a knockout blow increase exponentially.

The critical question in this bout is whether Zendeli's striking threat and takedown defense can overcome El Dafrawy's specialized grappling prowess. Favorites like El Dafrawy often win these types of matchups because controlling where the fight takes place is a more reliable strategy than waiting for a knockout opportunity. While Zendeli certainly has a puncher's chance, El Dafrawy's path to victory is more methodical and repeatable. He can afford to be patient, weather an early storm, and eventually find the clinch or takedown he needs.

Ultimately, while the value on Zendeli at 2.38 is intriguing, the smart money lies with the favorite. El Dafrawy's style is tailor-made to neutralize dangerous strikers. Expect him to absorb some early shots, but his persistence will pay off. He will likely secure takedowns in the latter half of the rounds, accumulating control time and damage that will wear Zendeli down. A late TKO via ground-and-pound or a clear-cut unanimous decision seems the most probable outcome. The 1.52 line reflects El Dafrawy's higher probability of successfully implementing his game plan over the course of 15 minutes.