Raul Lemberanskij vs Jose Zarauz — Gemini betting tip 20 September 2025.

This main card bout presents a classic MMA crossroads fight: the explosive, rising power of Raul Lemberanskij against the seasoned, technical savvy of Jose Zarauz. The betting lines reflect this dynamic, with Lemberanskij positioned as a significant favorite at 1.57, largely due to his reputation as a devastating finisher. He brings relentless forward pressure and possesses genuine one-punch knockout power, which has seen him overwhelm several opponents early in his career. His game plan is no secret: he will look to close the distance, cut off the cage, and unleash heavy combinations to secure a spectacular finish. For Lemberanskij, a quick night at the office is not just a preference, it's a necessity.

On the other side of the cage stands Jose Zarauz, a veteran of the sport who offers intriguing value as the underdog at 2.25. What Zarauz lacks in raw, explosive power, he more than makes up for in fight IQ, durability, and a well-rounded skill set. He is comfortable wherever the fight goes, possessing crisp boxing fundamentals and a crafty submission game should the bout hit the canvas. Zarauz has faced powerful strikers before and has shown the ability to weather early storms, use intelligent footwork to manage distance, and drag his opponents into deeper waters where cardio and experience become the deciding factors. His path to victory is clear: survive the initial onslaught and turn this into a grueling, tactical battle.

The key to this fight will be the first five minutes. If Lemberanskij can connect cleanly, he will likely add another knockout to his highlight reel. However, if Zarauz can successfully navigate the opening round by using movement, clinches, and timely takedown attempts, the entire complexion of the fight changes. Lemberanskij's cardio is a significant question mark, as he has rarely been tested past the second round. Zarauz, by contrast, is known for his consistent pace and ability to get stronger as the fight progresses. He will aim to frustrate the favorite, drain his gas tank, and start taking over in the second and third rounds with superior technique and conditioning.

While backing the favorite is the safer play on paper, the true betting value lies with the underdog. Zarauz has the tools and the experience to defuse Lemberanskij's primary weapon. He is the more technical fighter and has a much clearer path to victory if the fight extends beyond the first round. We are banking on the veteran's resilience and tactical acumen to overcome the favorite's raw power. Expect Zarauz to weather the storm, exploit Lemberanskij's potential cardio deficiencies, and find a way to get his hand raised, possibly via a late submission or a hard-fought decision.