Richard Kallos vs Tom Wright — Gemini betting tip 13 September 2025.

In this compelling Mixed Martial Arts showdown, we have a classic clash of styles between the powerful wrestler Tom Wright and the technical striker Richard Kallos. The betting lines immediately tell a story, with Wright positioned as the firm favorite at 1.53 and Kallos entering as the underdog at 2.45. While the underdog offers a tempting payout, a deeper dive into the matchup reveals why the smart money is backing Tom Wright.

Tom Wright is a physical specimen whose game plan is no secret: he wants to get this fight to the mat. With a background in collegiate wrestling, Wright excels at closing the distance, securing takedowns, and implementing a suffocating top game. Once he establishes control, he is relentless with ground-and-pound, forcing opponents into defensive shells and often creating openings for submissions. His striking is not flashy, but it is highly effective for his purposes. He uses a heavy lead hand and forward pressure to back his opponents against the cage, where his takedown entries become significantly more effective. He has consistently demonstrated an ability to neutralize dangerous strikers by simply taking away their space and forcing them to fight his fight.

On the other side of the cage, Richard Kallos is a fluid and dangerous kickboxer. His path to victory is clear: he must maintain distance, utilize his superior footwork, and pick Wright apart from the outside. Kallos possesses a sharp jab, powerful leg kicks, and the ability to string together multi-strike combinations. If he can keep this fight standing, he holds a significant advantage in the technical striking department. The key question for Kallos is whether his takedown defense has evolved enough to handle a specialist like Wright. In past fights, he has shown vulnerability to persistent grapplers, and that is precisely the test he faces here.

The outcome of this bout will hinge on one critical dynamic: Kallos's ability to defend the takedown. For three rounds, he will need to be perfect with his lateral movement, his sprawl, and his ability to get back to his feet if taken down. The energy expended defending takedowns is immense, and even if Kallos is successful early, Wright's relentless pressure could wear him down as the fight progresses. Wright only needs to be successful once or twice per round to impose his will and rack up points on the scorecards, if not find a finish. While Kallos has a puncher's chance and could certainly score a knockout if Wright gets careless on the entry, the more probable outcome is a grueling fight dictated by Wright's grappling. The 1.53 line on Wright, while not offering a massive return, reflects his high-percentage path to victory. He is the more reliable bet due to his dominant and controlling style, which is historically a potent antidote to pure strikers.