Thomas Gantt vs Adam Livingston — Gemini betting tip 17 September 2025.

This main event presents a classic MMA puzzle: the technician versus the powerhouse. Thomas Gantt enters as the considerable favorite with odds of 1.44, and for good reason. He is a fighter built on a foundation of crisp fundamentals, high fight IQ, and superb conditioning. Gantt’s game is not about highlight-reel knockouts but about systematic deconstruction. He utilizes a sharp jab and punishing leg kicks to manage distance and control the octagon, frustrating opponents while racking up points on the scorecards. His defensive wrestling is solid, allowing him to keep the fight standing where he can exploit his technical striking advantage. Gantt’s greatest asset is his composure; he weathers early storms and often looks stronger as the fight progresses into the championship rounds.

On the other side, Adam Livingston is the live underdog at 2.65, representing the chaotic variable in this equation. Livingston is pure aggression and raw power. He stalks his opponents from the opening bell, throwing every strike with fight-ending intentions. His overhand right is a legitimate threat to anyone in the division, and he possesses the kind of power that can erase any technical deficit in a single moment. However, this aggressive style comes at a cost. Livingston can be reckless defensively, leaving himself open to counters, and his cardio has been a significant question mark in past fights where he was dragged into deep water. His path to victory is clear and narrow: find Gantt’s chin early and put him away before his gas tank begins to fail.

The tactical dynamic of this fight is fascinating. For Gantt, the game plan is all about discipline and distance. He must use his footwork and feints to stay on the outside, avoiding the pocket where Livingston can unleash his power. By establishing his jab and chipping away with low kicks, Gantt can neutralize Livingston's forward pressure and mobility. As the fight wears on, Gantt can look to mix in takedowns against a tiring opponent, either to score points or hunt for a submission. Livingston must turn this into a brawl. He needs to cut off the cage, force dirty boxing exchanges, and make Gantt uncomfortable from the very start. Every second that passes without a significant moment for Livingston swings the fight further in Gantt’s favor.

While the allure of an underdog with knockout power is always tempting for bettors, the smart money lies with the favorite. Gantt has proven to be a more reliable and well-rounded martial artist. He has multiple paths to victory—a dominant decision, a late TKO, or even a submission—whereas Livingston is heavily reliant on landing that one perfect shot. Gantt’s technical superiority and five-round cardio should be enough to navigate the early danger and systematically break Livingston down. Expect Gantt to control the pace, avoid the brawl, and ultimately have his hand raised, likely via a clear unanimous decision.