Tymoteusz Łopaczyk vs Madars Fleminas — Gemini betting tip 20 September 2025.

This middleweight clash presents a classic stylistic puzzle between the technical striker, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk, and the relentless grappler, Madars Fleminas. The odds reflect this dynamic, with Łopaczyk positioned as a significant favorite at 1.43, while Fleminas enters as a live underdog at 2.63. This fight will ultimately be decided by which man can successfully impose his will and fight in his preferred domain.

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk is a highly skilled and intelligent fighter. His primary strengths lie in his stand-up game, where he utilizes excellent footwork, distance management, and crisp boxing to pick opponents apart from the outside. He possesses a notable reach advantage in many of his fights, which he uses effectively to land jabs and straight punches while staying out of his opponent's range. While known for his striking, Łopaczyk is far from a one-dimensional fighter; he has solid takedown defense and is competent enough on the mat to survive and get back to his feet. His path to victory is clear: keep the fight standing, frustrate Fleminas with movement, and accumulate damage from a distance.

Madars "The Latvian Express" Fleminas lives up to his nickname with a forward-pressure, grappling-heavy style. He is not the most polished striker, but he uses his aggression to close the distance, initiate the clinch, and work for takedowns. Once the fight hits the mat, Fleminas is in his world, using heavy top control and ground-and-pound to wear opponents down. His cardio and durability are major assets, allowing him to maintain a relentless pace for the entire fight. For Fleminas to win, he must turn this into a grueling, ugly affair against the cage and on the ground, smothering Łopaczyk's technical advantages.

Ultimately, the fight hinges on Łopaczyk's ability to defend the takedown and control the space inside the cage. Fleminas is predictable in his approach, and a fighter with Łopaczyk's fight IQ is likely to have prepared a specific game plan to counter it. Expect Łopaczyk to use lateral movement, feints, and teep kicks to disrupt Fleminas's rhythm and make him pay for every entry attempt. While Fleminas's toughness makes him a constant threat and offers value to underdog bettors, Łopaczyk's technical superiority is the more reliable factor. He should be able to stuff the majority of takedown attempts, win the striking exchanges decisively, and cruise to a clear-cut decision victory.