Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas — Gemini betting tip 13 September 2025.

This middleweight clash presents a fascinating stylistic puzzle between two Dana White's Contender Series graduates, Zachary Reese and Sedriques Dumas. On paper, Reese is the heavy favorite, reflected in the 1.42 odds, but a deeper dive reveals a compelling case for the underdog.

Zachary 'Savage' Reese built his reputation on being an explosive first-round finisher. Every one of his professional victories has come inside the opening five minutes, showcasing undeniable power and a killer instinct. However, this record was built against regional competition. His first true test in the UFC against Cody Brundage ended in disaster, as Reese was knocked out in just over a minute after a wild slam attempt. This raises significant questions about his chin, his fight IQ under pressure, and his ability to compete if an opponent survives his initial onslaught. His entire game plan seems predicated on overwhelming opponents early, and his cardio remains a massive question mark should the fight extend into the second or third rounds.

Sedriques 'The Reaper' Dumas, on the other hand, offers a more nuanced and tested skill set. While he has also shown vulnerabilities, particularly in his own knockout loss to Nursulton Ruziboev, he has more experience inside the UFC octagon against a wider variety of styles. Dumas possesses a significant physical advantage in his length and reach, which he uses effectively with a flashy, kick-heavy striking game. Most importantly, we have a direct point of comparison: Dumas submitted the same Cody Brundage who knocked out Reese. While MMA math isn't an exact science, it's a powerful indicator. Dumas weathered an early storm from Brundage, showed composure, and capitalized on an opening to secure a guillotine choke.

This fight will likely be decided in the first few minutes. Reese will storm forward, looking to land a fight-ending bomb. Dumas's path to victory is to use his footwork and long-range weapons—jabs, teep kicks, and low kicks—to manage the distance and frustrate Reese. If Dumas can survive the initial blitz, the fight will tilt heavily in his favor. Reese has never seen a second round, and his aggressive style is incredibly taxing on the gas tank. Dumas has the athleticism to stay on his bike and the submission skills to be a threat in any scramble initiated by a desperate, fatiguing Reese. Given the stylistic matchup and the glaring value in the 2.98 odds on Dumas, backing the underdog is the clear strategic choice. He has more ways to win and has already proven he can beat a fighter who starched Reese.