Ole Miss Rebels vs Tulane Green Wave — Grok betting tip 20 September 2025.

As we gear up for this intriguing NCAA Football matchup on September 20, 2025, between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Tulane Green Wave, there's plenty to dissect for betting enthusiasts. The Rebels, hailing from the powerhouse SEC conference, are coming off what promises to be another competitive season under head coach Lane Kiffin. Known for their explosive offense, Ole Miss has consistently ranked among the top teams in scoring, blending a potent passing game with a solid ground attack. Last season, they averaged over 35 points per game, and with key returnees like quarterback Jaxson Dart potentially leading the charge, they're poised to dominate lesser opponents.

On the other side, the Tulane Green Wave from the American Athletic Conference have shown flashes of brilliance, especially in their ability to pull off upsets. Under coach Jon Sumrall, they've built a resilient defense that can frustrate high-octane offenses. Tulane's recent history includes a stunning Cotton Bowl victory over USC a couple of years back, proving they can hang with the big boys. However, facing an SEC team on the road is a tall order, and their offensive line might struggle against Ole Miss's aggressive front seven.

Looking at the odds, Ole Miss is listed as a heavy favorite at 1.21, implying a strong expectation of victory. This translates to about an 83% implied probability of winning, which aligns with their superior talent and home-field advantage at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Betting $1 on the Rebels would net you roughly $0.21 in profit, making it a safer but lower-reward option. Conversely, Tulane at 4.66 offers tantalizing value for those believing in an upset – a $1 bet could return $3.66 plus your stake.

But let's dive deeper into the stats. Ole Miss boasts a top-25 rushing defense, which could neutralize Tulane's run-heavy approach led by running back Makhi Hughes. The Rebels' secondary, bolstered by transfers, should handle Tulane's passing game effectively. Injury reports will be key; if Ole Miss is at full strength, their depth will wear down the Green Wave over four quarters.

Historically, Ole Miss has dominated non-conference games against Group of Five teams, winning by an average of 20+ points in recent years. Tulane, while scrappy, has a 2-8 record against SEC opponents in the last decade, often struggling with the physicality. Weather in Oxford, Mississippi, around that time is typically mild, favoring the high-scoring Rebels.

For bettors, this screams a play on Ole Miss to cover, but since we're focusing on moneyline, the value might lie in parlaying with other games for better returns. If you're risk-averse, the Rebels are your pick; for thrill-seekers, a small wager on Tulane could pay off if they force turnovers early. Ultimately, my analysis points to Ole Miss pulling away in the second half for a convincing win.

One wildcard: special teams. Tulane has a knack for blocked kicks and return touchdowns, which could keep it close. Still, the talent gap is evident. As a betting expert aiming for profitability, I'd put my $1 on Ole Miss – steady wins build the bankroll.