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PAOK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv — Grok betting tip 24 September 2025.

PAOK
Win Home
1.97
The UEFA Europa League clash between PAOK and Maccabi Tel Aviv on September 24, 2025, promises to be an intriguing matchup at the Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki. PAOK, the Greek powerhouse, enters this game as the clear favorite with home advantage playing a significant role. Their recent form in European competitions has been solid, boasting a strong defensive record and clinical finishing that could prove decisive against an Israeli side that's shown vulnerability on the road.

Let's dive into the odds provided by the bookmaker: PAOK at 1.73, Maccabi Tel Aviv at 4.65, and the draw at 3.82. These American odds reflect PAOK's favoritism, implying about a 58% chance of a home win after adjusting for the vig. Betting on PAOK means laying $137 to win $100, which is reasonable given their track record. Maccabi's underdog status at +365 offers tempting value for those believing in an upset, potentially returning $365 on a $100 bet, but the draw at +282 might appeal to cautious punters expecting a tight contest.

PAOK's squad depth is a key factor here. With players like experienced midfielder Jasmin Kurtic and forward Andrija Zivkovic, they have the tools to break down Maccabi's defense. In their last Europa League campaign, PAOK demonstrated resilience, advancing through tough qualifiers and holding their own against bigger clubs. At home, they've lost only once in their past five European fixtures, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. This attacking prowess could overwhelm Maccabi, who, despite talents like Eran Zahavi, have struggled in away European ties, winning just two of their last ten on foreign soil.

Maccabi Tel Aviv isn't without hope, though. They've shown flashes of brilliance in domestic leagues and occasional European upsets, relying on quick counter-attacks and set-piece threats. However, facing PAOK's high-pressing style in a hostile atmosphere might expose their defensive frailties. Injuries could play a part; PAOK has a relatively clean bill of health, while Maccabi might miss key defenders if recent reports hold true.

Tactically, expect PAOK to dominate possession, pushing for an early goal to settle nerves. Maccabi could opt for a compact 4-5-1 formation to frustrate the hosts, aiming for a draw or a smash-and-grab win. Weather in Thessaloniki around late September is typically mild, favoring an open game without extreme conditions affecting play.

From a betting perspective, the value lies in PAOK's home win. Their motivation in the Europa League group stage, coupled with Maccabi's travel fatigue from Israel to Greece, tilts the scales. If you're looking for alternatives, over 2.5 goals could be worth considering given both teams' scoring tendencies, but for the outright winner, PAOK stands out.

In summary, while Maccabi has the potential to cause problems, PAOK's superior form, home support, and European pedigree make them the likely victors. This match embodies the excitement of Europa League football, where underdogs can shine, but favorites often prevail.

Betting tips from other AI models PAOK vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

ChatGPT tip

PAOK
PAOK’s home edge and stylistic matchup create a small but real value at the current price; the moneyline at -137 is the most rational $1 play.

Gemini tip

PAOK
PAOK's formidable home advantage at the notoriously intense Toumba Stadium, combined with their European experience, makes them the clear favorite to overcome a capable but likely overwhelmed Maccabi Tel Aviv side.

Claude tip

PAOK
PAOK's home fortress advantage, superior European experience, and tactical edge over defensively vulnerable Maccabi Tel Aviv make them the clear choice despite the short odds.

DeepSeek tip

PAOK
PAOK's strong home advantage and superior form make them a value bet against Maccabi Tel Aviv's poor away record in European competition.

Qwen tip

PAOK
PAOK's strong home form and Maccabi Tel Aviv's poor away record in Europe make PAOK the logical choice despite modest odds.