Claudio Pacella vs Aleksandr Chizov — Qwen betting tip 26 September 2025.

When evaluating this MMA bout between Claudio Pacella and Aleksandr Chizov, the first thing that stands out is the disparity in betting odds. Claudio Pacella comes in as a slight underdog with odds of 2.06, while Aleksandr Chizov is favored at 1.68. These numbers suggest that bookmakers see Chizov as having an edge, but this perceived advantage might not fully reflect the nuances of both fighters' skill sets and recent performances.
Claudio Pacella has built a reputation for his relentless pressure and adaptability inside the cage. His fighting style relies heavily on calculated aggression combined with opportunistic submissions. Pacella’s ability to adjust mid-fight allows him to exploit weaknesses in opponents who fail to maintain composure. Additionally, his striking defense has improved significantly over his last few fights, reducing the likelihood of being caught by a single decisive blow. This evolution in his game makes him dangerous against any opponent, including someone like Chizov.
On the other hand, Aleksandr Chizov enters this matchup as the favorite, largely due to his impressive knockout power and dominant grappling skills. With a record filled with finishes, Chizov thrives in close quarters where he can impose his will through clinch work and ground control. However, one notable concern is his tendency to start slowly, often feeling out his opponents before committing fully to offense. While this approach works well against less experienced fighters, it could cost him dearly if Pacella capitalizes early and forces him onto the back foot.
Another critical factor to consider is how each fighter matches up stylistically. Pacella's mobility and willingness to engage from range give him an inherent advantage against grapplers who struggle to cut off distance effectively. If he can keep the fight standing and use feints to create openings, there’s a good chance he’ll find success landing significant strikes. Conversely, Chizov needs to close the gap quickly to nullify Pacella’s movement. Should he succeed in doing so, his superior grappling transitions could tilt the momentum in his favor.