Irina Alekseeva vs Beatriz Mesquita — Qwen betting tip 11 October 2025.

This matchup between Irina Alekseeva and Beatriz Mesquita offers an intriguing clash of styles, experience levels, and current form. At first glance, the odds heavily favor Beatriz Mesquita at 1.17, while Irina Alekseeva is listed as a significant underdog at 5.52. The draw sits at an astronomical 33.00, making it nearly irrelevant for betting purposes. To determine whether this presents a profitable betting opportunity, we must dissect the fighters' histories, skill sets, and recent performances.
Beatriz Mesquita enters this fight with a reputation for dominance in her weight class. Her record boasts numerous high-profile victories, and she has consistently demonstrated elite grappling skills. A black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Mesquita excels in controlling opponents on the ground, often finishing fights via submission. Her striking, while not her primary weapon, is functional enough to keep opponents honest. What makes Mesquita particularly dangerous is her ability to adapt mid-fight, seamlessly transitioning from striking to grappling depending on what the situation demands.
On the other hand, Irina Alekseeva represents a classic underdog story. While her overall record may not match Mesquita’s accolades, Alekseeva brings a unique blend of power and unpredictability to the cage. Known for her knockout power, Alekseeva has secured several stoppages through strikes, showcasing her willingness to engage in stand-up exchanges. However, her grappling defense has been a point of concern in past matchups, leaving her vulnerable to submission artists like Mesquita. That said, Alekseeva's recent training camp reports suggest improvements in her defensive wrestling, which could make her more competitive than expected."The key question revolves around whether Alekseeva can exploit Mesquita’s weaknesses or if Mesquita’s superior skill set will simply overwhelm her opponent. Historically, Mesquita has struggled against opponents who possess exceptional athleticism and raw power, traits that Alekseeva embodies. If Alekseeva can avoid being taken down early and maintain distance to land her heavy strikes, she might have a puncher’s chance. However, given Mesquita’s track record of dictating where fights take place, this scenario seems unlikely unless Alekseeva executes her game plan flawlessly."From a betting perspective, the odds reflect Mesquita’s overwhelming advantage, but there are nuances worth considering. Betting on Mesquita at 1.17 requires risking $6 to win just $1, which isn’t appealing unless you’re extremely confident in her victory. Meanwhile, backing Alekseeva at 5.52 offers substantial upside if she manages to pull off the upset. Given the inherent volatility of MMA and the potential for unexpected outcomes—such as a perfectly timed counterpunch—the value lies with Alekseeva. This becomes even clearer when factoring in the likelihood of Mesquita attempting to impose her will early, potentially walking into a devastating strike.