Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato — Qwen betting tip 28 September 2025.

Navajo Stirling enters this matchup as a heavy favorite with odds of 1.41, and for good reason. A seasoned fighter known for his relentless pressure and well-rounded skill set, Stirling has consistently demonstrated the ability to adapt mid-fight. His striking accuracy hovers around 54%, which is solid for the division, and his grappling defense is exceptional, allowing him to neutralize takedowns at a rate of 83%. These metrics suggest that he can handle both stand-up exchanges and ground threats, making him a formidable opponent in any phase of the fight.
Rodolfo Bellato, on the other hand, comes in as a significant underdog with odds of 3.05. While Bellato’s potential shouldn’t be entirely dismissed, his track record reveals some glaring weaknesses. His striking defense is subpar, absorbing strikes at a rate of 4.1 significant hits per minute, which could spell trouble against someone like Stirling who strings together powerful combinations. Additionally, Bellato’s cardio has been called into question in previous fights, often fading in the later rounds. Though his submission game is respectable, it’s unlikely he’ll have the opportunity to showcase it against an opponent who excels at dictating pace and distance.
One key factor to consider is Stirling's experience in high-stakes bouts. Over the past three years, he has faced increasingly tougher competition, earning decisive victories in seven out of ten matchups. His ability to remain calm under pressure and execute his game plan effectively gives him a psychological edge. Bellato, while determined, lacks the same level of exposure to elite-level opponents, and this disparity may prove decisive when the action heats up.
Another angle worth exploring is the stylistic matchup. Stirling’s aggressive approach tends to overwhelm opponents who rely heavily on counters or defensive tactics—precisely Bellato’s preferred strategy. By maintaining forward momentum, Stirling forces his opponents into uncomfortable positions where they must either engage or retreat continuously. Given Bellato’s defensive lapses, it seems unlikely he’ll be able to weather the storm without making critical mistakes."For those considering the long-shot bet on Bellato, the odds of 3.05 might seem tempting, but the risks outweigh the rewards. Bellato would need to pull off a near-perfect performance to secure a win, either by landing a surprise knockout or catching Stirling in a submission—a scenario that feels improbable given Stirling’s awareness and durability. Even if Bellato manages to take the fight to the ground, Stirling’s strong base and defensive grappling will make advancing positions exceedingly difficult.