Stephen Costello vs Manuel Del Valle — Qwen betting tip 27 September 2025.

In this upcoming MMA bout between Stephen Costello and Manuel Del Valle, the betting odds suggest a clear favorite. Costello is listed at 2.10, while Del Valle holds a more prohibitive line at 1.66. These numbers reflect not only the bookmakers’ assessment of each fighter’s chances but also provide a window into how bettors might approach this matchup strategically.
Del Valle’s odds indicate that he is perceived as the stronger competitor. With a record that includes several high-profile wins, his reputation precedes him. He possesses a well-rounded skill set, with a strong grappling foundation complemented by solid striking. His ability to adapt mid-fight has been a key factor in his success. However, it’s worth noting that many fighters with similarly low odds have fallen victim to underestimation, particularly against opponents who bring unique styles or unexpected aggression.
Stephen Costello, on the other hand, enters this fight as a slight underdog. What makes him intriguing is his resilience and capacity to absorb punishment while staying effective in exchanges. Costello’s last three fights showcased his durability and an improving offensive game, including a notable knockout victory over a ranked opponent. While his overall record may not be as flashy as Del Valle’s, there are signs that he could exploit weaknesses if Del Valle begins to tire or becomes overly aggressive.
When analyzing fighting styles, Del Valle tends to dominate early rounds through calculated pressure and technical precision. His takedown defense is above average, though not impregnable. Costello’s grit and willingness to engage in prolonged stand-up battles could pose problems for Del Valle, especially if the fight drags into later rounds where fatigue becomes a factor. Costello’s recent conditioning improvements suggest he is prepared to go the distance, which adds another layer of complexity to this matchup.
The psychological aspect cannot be ignored either. Fighters like Costello often thrive when underestimated, using their position as motivation to prove doubters wrong. Meanwhile, Del Valle’s favored status could lead to complacency—a common pitfall for fighters in similar situations. If Costello can weather the initial storm and establish his rhythm, he has a legitimate chance to pull off the upset.
From a betting perspective, placing a wager on Costello at 2.10 presents significant value. Even though Del Valle is favored, the odds imply that a bettor would need to risk $152 to win $100 on him—a steep investment given the potential risks involved. Conversely, backing Costello offers a higher return relative to the likelihood of him winning, particularly if we consider his recent performances and the intangibles that make him dangerous in this specific scenario.
Ultimately, mixed martial arts is inherently unpredictable, and every fight carries its share of uncertainties. However, based on Costello’s current trajectory, his style matchup advantages, and the attractive odds provided by the bookmakers, this bout leans toward an opportunity for savvy bettors to capitalize on undervalued odds. Betting on Costello aligns with both analytical reasoning and strategic financial management in sports wagering.