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AI betting stats / ChatGPT

ChatGPT betting tips

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Event Date
ROI -3.8%
Win Rate 46.8%
Avg. Odds - 2.90

ChatGPT ROI

ROI based on real bookmaker odds, match outcome market only 1X2 (Win/Draw/Win)

ChatGPT match-outcome win rate (1X2)

Match & Predictions
4 of 6 AI models pick Javier Reyes Rugeles to win at 1.48
25/09/24 - 00:40 (UTC)
Justice Torres
Javier Reyes Rugeles
MMA
Mixed Martial Arts

tip from ChatGPT

Javier Reyes Rugeles
Javier Reyes Rugeles’ steady pressure, clinch control, and minute-winning style outlast Torres’ early danger, making -175 a playable edge with an estimated 66–68% win probability.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Fluminense-RJ to win at 1.69
25/09/24 - 00:30 (UTC)
Fluminense-RJ
Lanus
Football
CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Backing the Draw at 3.58 as the best value—Fluminense’s control may not translate into clear chances against a compact Lanus, pushing the match toward a 0-0/1-1 outcome.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Rafael Tobias to win at 1.21
25/09/24 - 00:15 (UTC)
Jair de Oliveira
Rafael Tobias
MMA
Mixed Martial Arts

tip from ChatGPT

Rafael Tobias
Rafael Tobias at 1.23 is the rightful side, projecting to win minutes and dictate the fight, while Jair de Oliveira’s 4.40 lacks clear value without strong, specific edges.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Texas Rangers to win at 1.74
25/09/24 - 00:06 (UTC)
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Minnesota Twins
I’m taking the Twins at plus money in what profiles as a near coin flip; the payout at 116 creates a small positive expected value.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Baltimore Orioles to win at 1.43
25/09/23 - 23:46 (UTC)
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Baltimore Orioles
Taking the Orioles at plus money 2.05 offers a small but real edge in a near coin-flip, boosted by Camden Yards’ run suppression and Baltimore’s late-inning reliability.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Chicago Cubs to win at 2.37
25/09/23 - 23:41 (UTC)
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Chicago Cubs
Near pick’em priced game; I’ll back the Cubs’ home-field and Wrigley-specific edge at -112 for a small but real value.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Minnesota Lynx to win at 1.15
25/09/23 - 23:34 (UTC)
Minnesota Lynx
Phoenix Mercury
Basketball
WNBA

tip from ChatGPT

Phoenix Mercury
The Lynx are rightful favorites, but the price at 1.24 overstates their edge; Phoenix’s star-driven variance makes the Mercury at 4.14 a positive-value upset shot.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Atlanta Braves to win at 1.58
25/09/23 - 23:16 (UTC)
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Atlanta Braves
Back the Braves at home at -196; their power-heavy lineup and bullpen edge push their true win rate above the break-even 66%. At this price, the moneyline carries a small but real positive expected value.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Toronto Blue Jays to win at 2.13
25/09/23 - 23:08 (UTC)
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Boston Red Sox
Taking Boston at 2.42 as a live divisional underdog; the price overstates Toronto’s edge, and our win estimate (~45%) makes this a positive-EV play.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick New York Yankees to win at 1.33
25/09/23 - 23:06 (UTC)
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

New York Yankees
Back the Yankees moneyline at 1.42; their home-field, lineup depth, and bullpen give a fair win probability in the mid-70s, creating a small but real edge.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/23 - 23:05 (UTC)
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
This profiles as a coin flip, so the even-money RailRiders at 2.00 offer better long-run value than laying 1.83 with the home side.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Philadelphia Phillies to win at 1.50
25/09/23 - 22:46 (UTC)
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Miami Marlins
Taking the Marlins at +180 for value in a high-variance, late-season divisional matchup where the Phillies’ home premium looks a touch inflated. The underdog’s true win probability likely exceeds the ~35.7% break-even.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Cincinnati Reds to win at 1.62
25/09/23 - 22:41 (UTC)
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Pittsburgh Pirates
With Cincinnati priced at 1.76 (56.9% break-even) and Pittsburgh at 2.12 (47.2% break-even), the homer-happy park and divisional familiarity boost variance, nudging the Pirates’ true win chance close enough to make the plus-money dog a small +EV play.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Cleveland Guardians to win at 2.38
25/09/23 - 22:41 (UTC)
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Cleveland Guardians
Home-dog value on Cleveland: their elite bullpen, clean defense, and contact-driven lineup make +142 a positive EV play against an overpriced Detroit road favorite.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Racing Club to win at 2.35
25/09/23 - 22:00 (UTC)
Racing Club
Velez Sarsfield
Football
CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores

tip from ChatGPT

Racing Club
Back Racing Club to win at 2.44; our fair probability (~46%) makes this a positive EV home-side play versus a Velez team more reliant on away counters.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Real Madrid to win at 1.32
25/09/23 - 19:30 (UTC)
Levante
Real Madrid
Football
La Liga, Spain

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Taking the Draw for value: at +493, its break-even is just 16.9%, and the road-favorite, low-event script with likely rotation lifts the stalemate’s true probability above that mark.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Villarreal to win at 2.34
25/09/23 - 19:30 (UTC)
Sevilla
Villarreal
Football
La Liga, Spain

tip from ChatGPT

Sevilla
Value leans to Sevilla: the home side’s win probability likely exceeds the implied 33% at 3.02, while Villarreal are overpriced on the road at 2.36.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Saint Etienne to win at 1.63
25/09/23 - 18:30 (UTC)
Amiens
Saint Etienne
Football
Ligue 1, France

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Best value is on the draw at 3.76, with a low-tempo, defense-first matchup and an away favorite profile that historically lifts stalemate odds.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/23 - 18:30 (UTC)
Annecy FC
Nancy
Football
Ligue 1, France

tip from ChatGPT

Annecy FC
Back Annecy at home at 2.74; the price overstates Nancy’s away edge and leaves a solid positive EV on the hosts.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Montpellier to win at 1.65
25/09/23 - 18:30 (UTC)
Montpellier
Boulogne
Football
Ligue 1, France

tip from ChatGPT

Montpellier
Back Montpellier on the moneyline at 1.60; our fair win probability (~68%) exceeds the implied 62.5%, creating a positive expected value edge.
Lost