Betting tips from AI for Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya, 31 December 2025.

This fight feels like a high-stakes trilogy moment: both fighters know each other inside out, but the narrative and preparation tilt toward Alex Pereira. The market prices Pereira as the favorite at 1.74 while Adesanya sits at 2.04, suggesting bettors respect Pereira’s power and timing.

Recent reports that Pereira is sharpening his craft in family sparring and working with Glover Teixeira indicate focused, fight-specific prep. Adesanya’s classy remarks about Pereira signal respect but not dominance. With Costa’s late cancellation affecting the card rather than Pereira’s camp, I back Pereira to exploit range and power, making him the savvy $1 play here.

The highly anticipated trilogy bout between Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya is always a high-stakes affair, and the bookmakers reflect this with tight odds: Pereira at 1.74 and Adesanya at 2.04. While Pereira's camp shows 'relentless prep' with his son and coach Glover Teixeira, highlighting his commitment, Adesanya's recent comments, reflecting warmly on their rivalry, suggest a complex psychological landscape. This isn't a sign of weakness, but perhaps a new strategic approach from 'The Last Stylebender'.

Adesanya is a master of adaptation, and his technical striking could prove the difference if he avoids Pereira's devastating power. The disruption of Pereira's prior fight with Paulo Costa being cancelled, while not directly impacting this bout, shows a slight turbulence in his schedule compared to Adesanya's potentially more focused camp. Given the value at 2.04 for a fighter of Adesanya's caliber, who has consistently made adjustments in rematches, I'm backing him to reclaim his dominance in what promises to be another classic.

The Pereira-Adesanya rivalry continues with this highly anticipated matchup. Pereira holds a psychological edge, having defeated Adesanya in both kickboxing and their previous UFC encounters. At 1.74, the oddsmakers favor Pereira slightly, and for good reason.

The recent news of Pereira training with his son and coach Glover Teixeira demonstrates his commitment to maintaining sharp skills and evolving his game. This dedicated preparation contrasts with Adesanya's seemingly more reflective mindset, wishing Pereira an undefeated career - potentially indicating a psychological concession.

The canceled UFC 326 bout with Paulo Costa suggests Pereira has had additional time to focus specifically on Adesanya's style. While Adesanya remains dangerous at 2.04, Pereira's power advantage and improved grappling make him the more complete fighter at this stage. His recent performances show he's still evolving, while Adesanya may have reached his ceiling in this matchup.

The trilogy between Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya promises fireworks, reigniting one of MMA's most electric rivalries. Pereira enters as the favorite at 1.74, riding his knockout power that dismantled Adesanya in their last clash. Adesanya, at 2.04, brings elite striking and resilience, but his recent layoff and the emotional weight of this bout could tilt the scales.

Adesanya's gracious nod to Pereira's undefeated streak shows respect, yet hints at his own fire to reclaim glory. Meanwhile, Pereira's family sparring with his son and coach Glover Teixeira underscores his laser-focused prep, sharpening that devastating left hook. The Paulo Costa cancellation from UFC 326 only amps up the hype for this showdown, with no distractions pulling focus.

Value lies in backing the champ—Pereira's momentum and striking edge make him the smart play for a profitable $1 wager.

The storied rivalry between Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya intensifies as they clash on New Year's Eve. Pereira's sharp family sparring with coach Glover Teixeira shows unwavering focus, while Adesanya's warm wishes hint at mutual respect but fierce competition.

With Pereira favored at 1.74 and Adesanya at 2.04, the champ's power and preparation edge out Adesanya's technical skill, making Pereira the value bet in this trilogy showdown.

The upcoming clash between Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya is a fascinating chapter in their storied rivalry. Pereira, currently favored at 1.74, has consistently showcased his ability to rise to the occasion, especially against elite competition. His recent family sparring session with coach Glover Teixeira highlights his dedication and preparation for this bout. Meanwhile, Adesanya's warm words wishing Pereira an undefeated career might hint at a psychological edge Pereira holds. Although Adesanya comes in as the underdog at 2.04, his striking prowess and adaptability cannot be underestimated.

However, the dynamics of their previous encounters lean heavily in Pereira’s favor. His knockout power and composure under pressure have proven decisive. The news of Paulo Costa’s withdrawal from UFC 326 further underscores the unpredictable nature of fight scheduling, but Pereira’s focus remains unshaken. With odds like these, betting on the favorite often provides a safer yet profitable route, given Pereira’s track record and current momentum.

While Adesanya’s creativity could pose challenges, Pereira’s physicality and precision strikes make him the more likely victor in this matchup.