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AI betting stats / ChatGPT

ChatGPT betting tips

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Event Date
ROI -4.5%
Win Rate 46.3%
Avg. Odds - 2.92

ChatGPT ROI

ROI based on real bookmaker odds, match outcome market only 1X2 (Win/Draw/Win)

ChatGPT match-outcome win rate (1X2)

Match & Predictions
5 of 6 AI models pick Georgia Southern Eagles to win at 1.04
25/09/20 - 23:07 (UTC)
Georgia Southern Eagles
Maine Black Bears
Football (USA)
NCAA Football

tip from ChatGPT

Georgia Southern Eagles
Back Georgia Southern on the moneyline at 1.04; the FBS vs FCS gap, home field, and depth point to a 97–98% true win probability—slightly above the implied 96.6%.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win
25/09/20 - 23:07 (UTC)
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Murray State Racers
Football (USA)
NCAA Football

tip from ChatGPT

Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Jacksonville State’s tempo run game, trench depth, and home edge create a clear FBS-over-FCS advantage. The Gamecocks should control script early and pull away methodically.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Baltimore Orioles to win at 6.98
25/09/20 - 23:06 (UTC)
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Baltimore Orioles
Take the Orioles moneyline at +164; the Yankees’ road premium looks overstated, and Camden Yards plus home leverage boosts Baltimore’s true win odds above the implied price.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Tampa Bay Rays to win at 2.64
25/09/20 - 23:06 (UTC)
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Tampa Bay Rays
Near pick’em priced game where Tampa Bay’s park, bullpen leverage, and process-driven edges at home push their true win probability above the break-even for -112.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Missouri Tigers to win at 1.30
25/09/20 - 23:05 (UTC)
Missouri Tigers
South Carolina Gamecocks
Football (USA)
NCAA Football

tip from ChatGPT

Missouri Tigers
Back Missouri on the moneyline at 1.28: home-field, trench advantage, and a higher true win rate than the breakeven threshold make the favorite the profitable side.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Boise State Broncos to win at 1.07
25/09/20 - 23:03 (UTC)
Air Force Falcons
Boise State Broncos
Football (USA)
NCAA Football

tip from ChatGPT

Air Force Falcons
Take Air Force at +298 for value; the triple-option, home altitude, and reduced possessions make Boise’s implied 79% win rate look inflated.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Missouri State Bears to win at 1.04
25/09/20 - 23:02 (UTC)
Missouri State Bears
UT Martin Skyhawks
Football (USA)
NCAA Football

tip from ChatGPT

UT Martin Skyhawks
The favorite’s price is inflated at -580, while UT Martin at 420 needs only ~19% true win probability—well within a reasonable range—making the underdog the clear +EV play.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Marshall Thundering Herd to win at 1.47
25/09/20 - 23:02 (UTC)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Marshall Thundering Herd
Football (USA)
NCAA Football

tip from ChatGPT

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Marshall is priced a bit rich for a September road favorite; the home dog’s defensive profile and situational edge make Middle Tennessee at +121 the value side.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win at 1.96
25/09/20 - 23:02 (UTC)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Nevada Wolf Pack
Football (USA)
NCAA Football

tip from ChatGPT

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Backing Western Kentucky on the moneyline at 1.25 is the steady, positive-EV play given their home-field edge and scheme mismatch against Nevada. The Wolf Pack’s road defense is unlikely to hold up over four quarters versus WKU’s tempo and passing efficiency.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick South Alabama Jaguars to win at 1.16
25/09/20 - 23:02 (UTC)
South Alabama Jaguars
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Football (USA)
NCAA Football

tip from ChatGPT

South Alabama Jaguars
The market’s steep line reflects a real gap: at home, South Alabama’s efficiency, trench edge, and low-variance style justify laying 1.15 as a small but positive-EV moneyline play.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Oscar Alan Perez to win at 1.09
25/09/20 - 23:00 (UTC)
Oscar Alan Perez
Malik Lewis
Boxing
Boxing Bouts

tip from ChatGPT

Oscar Alan Perez
Back Oscar Alan Perez at -1141 for the high-probability, low-variance win; the underdog and draw prices don’t offer enough real edge to justify the risk.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Pachuca to win at 1.34
25/09/20 - 23:00 (UTC)
Pachuca
Querétaro
Football
Liga MX, Mexico

tip from ChatGPT

Draw
Backing the Draw at 5.45 offers the best value given Liga MX’s high draw rate and a likely low-block game from Querétaro, while Pachuca’s price at 1.31 looks inflated.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/20 - 22:41 (UTC)
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Cincinnati Reds
Take the Reds moneyline at even money: in a high-variance park and a divisional spot, this projects closer to a coin flip than the Cubs’ -118 implies.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Pittsburgh Pirates to win at 2.00
25/09/20 - 22:40 (UTC)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Oakland Athletics
Baseball
Major League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Pittsburgh Pirates
With both teams at -105, the home-field edge at PNC Park and a late-inning bullpen advantage make the Pirates a small but real +EV play.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/20 - 22:35 (UTC)
Norfolk Tides
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Norfolk Tides
Taking Norfolk Tides at plus money due to AAA volatility and home-field value; Jacksonville is overpriced at -172, making Norfolk +134 a positive-EV play.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Lehigh Valley IronPigs to win at 1.69
25/09/20 - 22:35 (UTC)
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Syracuse Mets
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Syracuse Mets
Back Syracuse Mets at +110 as a value dog in a high-variance Triple-A spot where the home side is priced too rich. The late-season volatility and modest home edge make Syracuse the profitable play.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Fabian Diaz to win at 1.55
25/09/20 - 22:30 (UTC)
Fabian Diaz
Dorian Mendez
Boxing
Boxing Bouts

tip from ChatGPT

Fabian Diaz
Back Fabian Diaz at -173: mid-range boxing favorites win roughly two-thirds of the time, making this a modest but positive-EV moneyline. The draw is low-frequency and the underdog lacks a clear value edge at +150.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Akron Zips to win at 1.25
25/09/20 - 22:07 (UTC)
Akron Zips
Duquesne Dukes
Football (USA)
NCAA Football

tip from ChatGPT

Akron Zips
Back Akron on the moneyline: the FBS depth, home field, and trench advantage outweigh Duquesne’s upset paths, and the current price slightly undervalues the Zips’ win probability.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/20 - 22:05 (UTC)
Gwinnett Stripers
Indianapolis Indians
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Gwinnett Stripers
Back Gwinnett at home as a live underdog; the price at +130 offers value in a high-variance AAA spot versus an inflated road favorite.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Gael Cabrera to win at 1.06
25/09/20 - 22:00 (UTC)
Gael Cabrera
Judy Flores
Boxing
Boxing Bouts

tip from ChatGPT

Gael Cabrera
Back Gael Cabrera at 1.07: in boxing, favorites this wide win the vast majority of the time, and without clear red flags, the high-probability play beats the long-shot lure on 10.17.
Won