Back Michigan on the moneyline at -128: their trench edge, defensive consistency, and lower-variance style push their true win probability above the implied 56%. Nebraska’s home field helps, but not enough to erase the gap.

Win Away

1.93

Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win at 1.04

25/09/20 - 19:30 (UTC)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

tip from ChatGPT

Purdue Boilermakers

Notre Dame is the likelier winner, but the price is extreme; at 14.21, Purdue’s upset probability looks higher than implied, making the Boilermakers the value side.

Win Away

14.23

Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick UCF Knights to win at 1.41

25/09/20 - 19:30 (UTC)

UCF Knights

North Carolina Tar Heels

Football (USA)

NCAA Football

Score: 34 - 9

tip from ChatGPT

UCF Knights

Backing UCF on the moneyline at home: tempo, September heat, and matchup edges make the -264 a small but real value versus UNC’s high-variance upset path.

Win Home

1.41

Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Ole Miss Rebels to win at 1.23

25/09/20 - 19:30 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Ole Miss Rebels

Lay the wood with Ole Miss on the moneyline at 1.21; the Rebels’ home-field, talent edge, and tempo-driven scheme push their true win probability above the market’s 83%. Tulane is tough, but the SEC step-up and depth gap make the dog price short.

Win Home

1.23

Won

4 of 6 AI models pick UConn Huskies to win at 1.07

25/09/20 - 19:30 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Ball State Cardinals

The moneyline heavily overstates UConn’s dominance; Ball State at 9.46 offers clear positive expected value in a low-possession, variance-friendly game state.

Win Away

10.09

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Troy Trojans to win at 2.78

25/09/20 - 19:30 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Troy Trojans

The value is on Troy at +196: Buffalo’s price implies too large a gap, while Troy’s defense-first style travels well and makes a 38–40% upset rate realistic and profitable.

Win Away

2.78

Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Louisiana Ragin Cajuns to win at 1.78

25/09/20 - 19:30 (UTC)

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

Football (USA)

NCAA Football

Score: 34 - 31

tip from ChatGPT

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

Backing Louisiana’s trench and run-game edge in a low-variance script offers a slight but real edge over the -140 break-even. Sun Belt strength versus a conservative EMU profile tips this toward the Cajuns.

Win Away

1.78

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Toledo Rockets to win at 1.19

25/09/20 - 19:30 (UTC)

Western Michigan Broncos

tip from ChatGPT

Western Michigan Broncos

Backing Western Michigan at 5.42 for the value: home-field variance and a tighter true win probability than the market’s 18% imply make the Broncos a positive EV upset shot.

Win Home

5.04

Won

5 of 6 AI models pick RC Lens to win at 2.35

25/09/20 - 19:05 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

RC Lens

RC Lens’ sustained home edge and Lille’s softer away profile make Lens at 2.43 a positive-value play versus the implied 41% chance.

Win Home

2.35

Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Fulham to win at 2.06

25/09/20 - 19:00 (UTC)

Fulham

Brentford

Football

English Premier League

Score: 3 - 1

tip from ChatGPT

Brentford

Brentford at +292 is mispriced for a derby where their transitions and set-piece edge meaningfully narrow the gap; the implied 25.5% win chance looks too low.

Win Away

3.94

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Athletic Bilbao to win at 2.35

25/09/20 - 19:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Valencia

Taking Valencia at 3.11 for a home-driven value play; my win probability (≈35–36%) tops the 32.2% break-even, while Athletic’s away price looks inflated.

Win Home

3.50

Won

6 of 6 AI models pick LASK to win at 1.75

25/09/20 - 19:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

LASK

LASK’s structure, set-piece edge, and home advantage offer a small but real value at the current price, even in a derby. Blau-Weiß Linz need early chaos to flip the script, which is less likely over 90 minutes.

Win Home

1.75

Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Rapid Wien to win at 1.47

25/09/20 - 19:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Draw

Backing the draw at 3.80 offers the best value, with Rapid fairly likely but overpriced at 1.47 and GAK resilient at home. A low-event, conservative game script boosts the stalemate’s probability beyond its implied odds.

Draw

3.80

Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Rheindorf Altach to win at 1.95

25/09/20 - 19:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Draw

Backing the draw at 3.00: two low-scoring, risk-averse sides make a stalemate more likely than the market implies, offering positive expected value.

Draw

3.00

Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus

25/09/20 - 19:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Vitoria

Back Vitória at home: the Barradão edge and transition matchup justify the price at odds of 2.64 versus an away Fluminense at 2.97.

Win Home

2.50

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Almería to win at 1.95

25/09/20 - 19:00 (UTC)

Almería

Sporting Gijón

Football

Segunda División, Spain

Score: 2 - 1

tip from ChatGPT

Draw

Backing the Draw at 3.82: Segunda’s high draw rate and a cagey Almería vs. Sporting Gijón matchup make the stalemate the best value versus a taxed home price.

Draw

3.66

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Oregon Ducks to win at 1.00

25/09/20 - 19:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Oregon State Beavers

Price over pedigree: with Oregon at -100000 and Oregon State at +2000, the Beavers’ break-even is ~4.8%, making the long shot the +EV play in a volatile rivalry.

Win Away

21.00

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick AC Milan to win at 1.80

25/09/20 - 18:45 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

AC Milan

AC Milan at 1.88 holds a small but real edge over the market’s implied 53.3%—my model has them 56–59%, making the away moneyline a positive-EV bet.

Win Away

1.80

Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Philadelphia Union to win at 1.59

25/09/20 - 18:30 (UTC)

Philadelphia Union

New England Revolution

Football

MLS

Score: 1 - 0

tip from ChatGPT

Draw

The home price overrates Philadelphia in a parity-driven league; stylistically this sets up as a 1-1 type game, making the Draw at 4.54 the value side.

Draw

4.53

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick VfL Bochum to win at 3.18

25/09/20 - 18:30 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Draw

These odds slightly underrate the stalemate probability in a tight, low-margin matchup. The Draw at +279 offers a small but real value edge over the market’s implied probability.

Draw

3.77

Lost